L'Air Liquide S.A.
ENXTPA-AI
BUILD UP FREE CASH | 2022-12-31 (A) | 2023-12-31 (A) | 2024-12-31 (A) | 2025-12-31 (E) | 2026-12-31 (E) | 2027-12-31 (E) | 2028-12-31 (E) | 2029-12-31 (E) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 29,934 | 27,607.6 | 27,057.8 | 27,190.1 | 28,316.6 | 29,835.6 | 29,835.6 | 29,835.6 |
Revenue % Chg. | 28.3% | -7.8% | -2% | |||||
EBIT | 4,608.3 | 4,799 | 5,124 | 5,643.6 | 6,226.7 | 6,750.9 | 6,750.9 | 6,750.9 |
EBIT Margin | 15.4% | 17.4% | 18.9% | |||||
Tax Rate | 25.7% | 23.4% | 24% | |||||
NOPAT | 3,425.8 | 3,678 | 3,894.1 | 4,197.3 | 4,654 | 5,053.5 | 5,053.5 | 5,053.5 |
NOPAT Margin | 11.4% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 16.9% |
D&A | 2,412.6 | 2,428.3 | 2,443.7 | 2,608.5 | 2,714.8 | 2,846.4 | 2,846.4 | 2,846.4 |
D&A / Revenue | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9% | |||||
Capex | -3,273 | -3,393.4 | -3,525.1 | -3,732.1 | -3,958.3 | -4,132.3 | -4,132.3 | -4,132.3 |
Capex / Revenue | -10.9% | -12.3% | -13% | |||||
Chg. NWC | -396.8 | -154.4 | -155.1 | -222.8 | -232 | -244.5 | -244.5 | -244.5 |
Chg. NWC / Revenue | -1.3% | -0.6% | -0.6% | |||||
Unlevered FCF (UFCF) | 2,168.6 | 2,558.5 | 2,657.6 | 2,850.8 | 3,178.5 | 3,523.1 | 3,523.1 | 3,523.1 |
UFCF % Chg. | -13.7% | 18% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | — | — |
PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 2,629.2 | 2,703.6 | 2,763.7 | 2,548.8 | 2,350.7 |
Sum of PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 2,629.2 | 5,332.8 | 8,096.4 | 10,645.2 | 12,995.9 |
| Cost of Debt | |
| Tax Rate | |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 2.3% |
| Risk Free Rate | |
| Market Risk Premium | |
| Beta | 1 |
| Cost of Equity | 9.4% |
| Total Debt | 12,450.6 |
| Market Cap | 80,789.8 |
| Total Capital | 93,240.4 |
| Debt Weighting | 13.4% |
| Equity Weighting | 86.6% |
| WACC | 8.4% |
| Exit Multiple EV/FCF | |
| Terminal Value | 90,877 |
| PV of Terminal Value | 55,920.6 |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | 12,995.9 |
| Net Debt | 11,053 |
| Equity Value | 57,863.5 |
| Shares Outstanding | 577.1 |
| Implied Share Price | 100.3 |
| Current Share Price | 162.2 |
| Implied Upside / (Downside) | -38.2% |