Sanlam Limited
JSE-SLM
BUILD UP FREE CASH | 2022-12-31 (A) | 2023-12-31 (A) | 2024-12-31 (A) | 2025-12-31 (E) | 2026-12-31 (E) | 2027-12-31 (E) | 2028-12-31 (E) | 2029-12-31 (E) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 103,741 | 190,893 | 204,172 | 24,343.9 | 26,383 | 28,696.8 | 28,696.8 | 28,696.8 |
Revenue % Chg. | -46.6% | 84% | 7% | |||||
EBIT | 17,168 | 94,281 | 100,529 | 26,752.6 | 28,218.4 | 30,693.2 | 30,693.2 | 30,693.2 |
EBIT Margin | 16.5% | 49.4% | 49.2% | |||||
Tax Rate | 22.5% | 34.2% | 26.8% | |||||
NOPAT | 13,312.3 | 62,010.7 | 73,588.9 | 19,796.9 | 20,881.6 | 22,712.9 | 22,712.9 | 22,712.9 |
NOPAT Margin | 12.8% | 32.5% | 36% | 81.3% | 79.1% | 79.1% | 79.1% | 79.1% |
D&A | 1,079 | 1,194 | 1,358 | 161.9 | 175.5 | 190.9 | 190.9 | 190.9 |
D&A / Revenue | 1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | |||||
Capex | -574 | -752 | -832 | -99.2 | -107.5 | -116.9 | -116.9 | -116.9 |
Capex / Revenue | -0.6% | -0.4% | -0.4% | |||||
Chg. NWC | 36,904 | -16,020 | 2,934 | 2,322.3 | 2,516.8 | 2,737.5 | 2,737.5 | 2,737.5 |
Chg. NWC / Revenue | 35.6% | -8.4% | 1.4% | |||||
Unlevered FCF (UFCF) | 50,721.3 | 46,432.7 | 77,048.9 | 22,181.9 | 23,466.4 | 25,524.4 | 25,524.4 | 25,524.4 |
UFCF % Chg. | 120% | -8.5% | 65.9% | -71.2% | 5.8% | 8.8% | — | — |
PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 19,690.6 | 18,491.3 | 17,854.1 | 15,848.8 | 14,068.8 |
Sum of PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 19,690.6 | 38,181.9 | 56,035.9 | 71,884.8 | 85,953.6 |
| Cost of Debt | |
| Tax Rate | |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 6.1% |
| Risk Free Rate | |
| Market Risk Premium | |
| Beta | 1 |
| Cost of Equity | 13.3% |
| Total Debt | 21,458 |
| Market Cap | 202,779.8 |
| Total Capital | 224,237.8 |
| Debt Weighting | 9.6% |
| Equity Weighting | 90.4% |
| WACC | 12.7% |
| Exit Multiple EV/FCF | |
| Terminal Value | 194,170.8 |
| PV of Terminal Value | 95,005.2 |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | 85,953.6 |
| Net Debt | -18,030 |
| Equity Value | 198,988.8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 2,087.5 |
| Implied Share Price | 95.3 |
| Current Share Price | 96.6 |
| Implied Upside / (Downside) | -1.3% |