BUILD UP FREE CASH
2004-12-31 (A)
2005-12-31 (A)
2006-12-31 (A)
2007-12-31 (E)
2008-12-31 (E)
2009-12-31 (E)
2010-12-31 (E)
2011-12-31 (E)

Revenue

5,6896,370.87,706.77,706.77,706.77,706.77,706.77,706.7

Revenue % Chg.

21.6%12%21%

EBIT

2,315.72,426.72,836.82,969.82,969.82,969.82,969.82,969.8

EBIT Margin

40.7%38.1%36.8%

Tax Rate

31.7%34.1%28.1%

NOPAT

1,5821,5982,040.72,040.32,040.32,040.32,040.32,040.3

NOPAT Margin

27.8%25.1%26.5%26.5%26.5%26.5%26.5%26.5%

D&A

899.91,039.21,036.11,170.81,170.81,170.81,170.81,170.8

D&A / Revenue

15.8%16.3%13.4%

Capex

-1,081.5-1,146-2,081-1,644.1-1,644.1-1,644.1-1,644.1-1,644.1

Capex / Revenue

-19%-18%-27%

Chg. NWC

19.4-45.9-195.8-75-75-75-75-75

Chg. NWC / Revenue

0.3%-0.7%-2.5%

Unlevered FCF (UFCF)

1,419.91,445.3799.91,491.91,491.91,491.91,491.91,491.9

UFCF % Chg.

-20%1.8%-44.7%86.5%————

PV of UFCF

———1,355.11,230.81,117.91,015.3922.2

Sum of PV of UFCF

———1,355.12,585.83,703.74,7195,641.2
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate
After Tax Cost of Debt6%
Risk Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Beta1
Cost of Equity10.5%
Total Debt3,674.8
Market Cap38,799.8
Total Capital42,474.6
Debt Weighting8.7%
Equity Weighting91.3%
WACC10.1%
Exit Multiple EV/FCF
Terminal Value39,862.8
PV of Terminal Value22,380.2
Cumulative PV of UFCF5,641.2
Net Debt933
Equity Value27,088.5
Shares Outstanding2,552.6
Implied Share Price10.6
Current Share Price15.2
Implied Upside / (Downside)-30.2%