Doosan Corporation
KOSE-A000150
BUILD UP FREE CASH | 2022-12-31 (A) | 2023-12-31 (A) | 2024-12-31 (A) | 2025-12-31 (E) | 2026-12-31 (E) | 2027-12-31 (E) | 2028-12-31 (E) | 2029-12-31 (E) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 16,995,760.1 | 19,130,130 | 18,132,874 | 19,510,562.4 | 20,970,254.6 | 22,579,066.5 | 22,579,066.5 | 22,579,066.5 |
Revenue % Chg. | 32.2% | 12.6% | -5.2% | |||||
EBIT | 1,112,798.7 | 1,356,232 | 978,171 | 1,234,244.6 | 1,828,878.1 | 2,146,491.6 | 2,146,491.6 | 2,146,491.6 |
EBIT Margin | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | |||||
Tax Rate | -73.9% | 39.7% | 49% | |||||
NOPAT | 1,935,346.2 | 818,220.2 | 498,571.8 | 761,528.9 | 1,316,792.2 | 1,566,938.9 | 1,566,938.9 | 1,566,938.9 |
NOPAT Margin | 11.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% |
D&A | 618,202.2 | 704,348 | 767,216 | 683,200 | 619,400 | 629,000 | 629,000 | 629,000 |
D&A / Revenue | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | |||||
Capex | -701,059.4 | -585,004 | -714,242 | -775,500 | -715,000 | -670,000 | -670,000 | -670,000 |
Capex / Revenue | -4.1% | -3.1% | -3.9% | |||||
Chg. NWC | -683,021.3 | 432,670 | -1,052,641 | -491,809.7 | -528,604.7 | -569,158.6 | -569,158.6 | -569,158.6 |
Chg. NWC / Revenue | -4% | 2.3% | -5.8% | |||||
Unlevered FCF (UFCF) | 1,169,467.7 | 1,370,234.2 | -501,095.2 | 177,419.2 | 692,587.6 | 956,780.3 | 956,780.3 | 956,780.3 |
UFCF % Chg. | 560.7% | 17.2% | -136.6% | -135.4% | 290.4% | 38.1% | 0% | — |
PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 164,538.7 | 595,675.1 | 763,157.8 | 707,753.1 | 656,370.6 |
Sum of PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 164,538.7 | 760,213.8 | 1,523,371.6 | 2,231,124.7 | 2,887,495.3 |
| Cost of Debt | |
| Tax Rate | |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 5.5% |
| Risk Free Rate | |
| Market Risk Premium | |
| Beta | 1 |
| Cost of Equity | 9.3% |
| Total Debt | 9,084,793 |
| Market Cap | 13,796,619.1 |
| Total Capital | 22,881,412.1 |
| Debt Weighting | 39.7% |
| Equity Weighting | 60.3% |
| WACC | 7.8% |
| Exit Multiple EV/FCF | |
| Terminal Value | 30,889,370.1 |
| PV of Terminal Value | 19,652,297.8 |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | 2,887,495.3 |
| Net Debt | 6,551,946 |
| Equity Value | 15,987,847.1 |
| Shares Outstanding | 17.8 |
| Implied Share Price | 896,184.2 |
| Current Share Price | 852,000 |
| Implied Upside / (Downside) | 5.2% |