AstraZeneca PLC
LSE-AZN
BUILD UP FREE CASH | 2022-12-31 (A) | 2023-12-31 (A) | 2024-12-31 (A) | 2025-12-31 (E) | 2026-12-31 (E) | 2027-12-31 (E) | 2028-12-31 (E) | 2029-12-31 (E) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 44,351 | 45,811 | 54,073 | 58,578.8 | 62,307.6 | 66,141.8 | 66,141.8 | 66,141.8 |
Revenue % Chg. | 18.5% | 3.3% | 18% | |||||
EBIT | 8,812 | 9,648 | 12,929 | 18,773.3 | 21,092.8 | 23,450.1 | 23,450.1 | 23,450.1 |
EBIT Margin | 19.9% | 21.1% | 23.9% | |||||
Tax Rate | -31.7% | 13.6% | 19% | |||||
NOPAT | 11,602.5 | 8,336.2 | 10,474.4 | 15,092 | 16,901.1 | 18,794.2 | 18,794.2 | 18,794.2 |
NOPAT Margin | 26.2% | 18.2% | 19.4% | 25.8% | 27.1% | 28.4% | 28.4% | 28.4% |
D&A | 5,178 | 4,851 | 4,981 | 5,681.1 | 5,761.1 | 5,730.7 | 5,730.7 | 5,730.7 |
D&A / Revenue | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | |||||
Capex | -1,091 | -1,361 | -1,924 | -2,682 | -2,652.4 | -2,552.6 | -2,552.6 | -2,552.6 |
Capex / Revenue | -2.5% | -3% | -3.6% | |||||
Chg. NWC | 3,757 | 300 | -893 | 1,459.5 | 1,552.4 | 1,647.9 | 1,647.9 | 1,647.9 |
Chg. NWC / Revenue | 8.5% | 0.7% | -1.7% | |||||
Unlevered FCF (UFCF) | 19,446.5 | 12,126.2 | 12,638.4 | 19,550.6 | 21,562.2 | 23,620.3 | 23,620.3 | 23,620.3 |
UFCF % Chg. | 423.9% | -37.6% | 4.2% | 54.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | — | — |
PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 17,937.2 | 18,150 | 18,241.6 | 16,736.2 | 15,355 |
Sum of PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 17,937.2 | 36,087.2 | 54,328.8 | 71,065 | 86,420 |
| Cost of Debt | |
| Tax Rate | |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 4.7% |
| Risk Free Rate | |
| Market Risk Premium | |
| Beta | 1 |
| Cost of Equity | 9.6% |
| Total Debt | 30,460 |
| Market Cap | 208,479.6 |
| Total Capital | 238,939.6 |
| Debt Weighting | 12.7% |
| Equity Weighting | 87.3% |
| WACC | 9% |
| Exit Multiple EV/FCF | |
| Terminal Value | 226,752.2 |
| PV of Terminal Value | 135,240.9 |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | 86,420 |
| Net Debt | 24,479 |
| Equity Value | 197,181.9 |
| Shares Outstanding | 1,550.7 |
| Implied Share Price | 127.2 |
| Current Share Price | 89.8 |
| Implied Upside / (Downside) | 41.6% |