Bunzl plc
LSE-BNZL
BUILD UP FREE CASH | 2022-12-31 (A) | 2023-12-31 (A) | 2024-12-31 (A) | 2025-12-31 (E) | 2026-12-31 (E) | 2027-12-31 (E) | 2028-12-31 (E) | 2029-12-31 (E) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 12,039.5 | 11,797.1 | 11,776.4 | 11,763.8 | 11,955 | 12,245.3 | 12,245.3 | 12,245.3 |
Revenue % Chg. | 17.1% | -2% | -0.2% | |||||
EBIT | 757.5 | 810.6 | 823.8 | 900.6 | 922 | 953 | 953 | 953 |
EBIT Margin | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7% | |||||
Tax Rate | 25.2% | 24.7% | 25.6% | |||||
NOPAT | 566.3 | 610.6 | 612.7 | 665.8 | 682.1 | 705 | 705 | 705 |
NOPAT Margin | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% |
D&A | 309.1 | 333.4 | 372.2 | 248.8 | 249.1 | 253.2 | 253.2 | 253.2 |
D&A / Revenue | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | |||||
Capex | -34.7 | -42.8 | -40.3 | -54.2 | -54.7 | -55.9 | -55.9 | -55.9 |
Capex / Revenue | -0.3% | -0.4% | -0.3% | |||||
Chg. NWC | 54.5 | -28.4 | -97.1 | -24 | -24.4 | -25 | -25 | -25 |
Chg. NWC / Revenue | 0.5% | -0.2% | -0.8% | |||||
Unlevered FCF (UFCF) | 895.2 | 872.8 | 847.5 | 836.5 | 852.1 | 877.3 | 877.3 | 877.3 |
UFCF % Chg. | 19.6% | -2.5% | -2.9% | -1.3% | 1.9% | 3% | — | — |
PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 777.6 | 736.5 | 704.9 | 655.3 | 609.2 |
Sum of PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 777.6 | 1,514.1 | 2,219 | 2,874.3 | 3,483.6 |
| Cost of Debt | |
| Tax Rate | |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 3.7% |
| Risk Free Rate | |
| Market Risk Premium | |
| Beta | 1 |
| Cost of Equity | 9.7% |
| Total Debt | 3,805.7 |
| Market Cap | 6,987.2 |
| Total Capital | 10,792.9 |
| Debt Weighting | 35.3% |
| Equity Weighting | 64.7% |
| WACC | 7.6% |
| Exit Multiple EV/FCF | |
| Terminal Value | 9,307.5 |
| PV of Terminal Value | 6,008.8 |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | 3,483.6 |
| Net Debt | 2,316.9 |
| Equity Value | 7,175.5 |
| Shares Outstanding | 322.3 |
| Implied Share Price | 22.3 |
| Current Share Price | 21.7 |
| Implied Upside / (Downside) | 2.7% |