Mahindra & Mahindra Limited
NSEI-M&M
BUILD UP FREE CASH | 2023-03-31 (A) | 2024-03-31 (A) | 2025-03-31 (A) | 2026-03-31 (E) | 2027-03-31 (E) | 2028-03-31 (E) | 2029-03-31 (E) | 2030-03-31 (E) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 1,222,771.6 | 1,409,329.5 | 1,608,660.5 | 1,801,720.8 | 1,999,465.6 | 2,125,562.2 | 2,125,562.2 | 2,125,562.2 |
Revenue % Chg. | 34.5% | 15.3% | 14.1% | |||||
EBIT | 169,652 | 222,432.7 | 266,460.8 | 269,148.6 | 300,419 | 327,751 | 327,751 | 327,751 |
EBIT Margin | 13.9% | 15.8% | 16.6% | |||||
Tax Rate | 19.1% | 23.2% | 26.2% | |||||
NOPAT | 137,245.6 | 170,812.7 | 196,542.3 | 215,318.9 | 228,637.6 | 249,790 | 249,790 | 249,790 |
NOPAT Margin | 11.2% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 12% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% |
D&A | 30,497.1 | 31,575.8 | 37,355.1 | 55,170 | 49,452.3 | 54,829 | 54,829 | 54,829 |
D&A / Revenue | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | |||||
Capex | -63,045.7 | -99,459.9 | -103,919.5 | -66,110 | -66,110 | -75,950.8 | -75,950.8 | -75,950.8 |
Capex / Revenue | -5.2% | -7.1% | -6.5% | |||||
Chg. NWC | -199,410.4 | -191,750.9 | -141,133.4 | -232,345.3 | -257,846 | -274,107.1 | -274,107.1 | -274,107.1 |
Chg. NWC / Revenue | -16.3% | -13.6% | -8.8% | |||||
Unlevered FCF (UFCF) | -94,713.4 | -88,822.3 | -11,155.5 | -27,966.5 | -45,866.1 | -45,439 | -45,439 | -45,439 |
UFCF % Chg. | -255.6% | -6.2% | -87.4% | 150.7% | 64% | -0.9% | — | — |
PV of UFCF | — | — | — | -24,985 | -36,608.1 | -32,400.9 | -28,946.7 | -25,860.8 |
Sum of PV of UFCF | — | — | — | -24,985 | -61,593.1 | -93,994 | -122,940.8 | -148,801.6 |
| Cost of Debt | |
| Tax Rate | |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 5.7% |
| Risk Free Rate | |
| Market Risk Premium | |
| Beta | 1 |
| Cost of Equity | 12% |
| Total Debt | 1,295,212.1 |
| Market Cap | 368,166,705.8 |
| Total Capital | 369,461,917.9 |
| Debt Weighting | 0.4% |
| Equity Weighting | 99.6% |
| WACC | 11.9% |
| Exit Multiple EV/FCF | |
| Terminal Value | 463,872,875 |
| PV of Terminal Value | 235,860,157.2 |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | -148,801.6 |
| Net Debt | 912,988.1 |
| Equity Value | 234,798,367.5 |
| Shares Outstanding | 1,116.3 |
| Implied Share Price | 210,333.7 |
| Current Share Price | 3,772.7 |
| Implied Upside / (Downside) | 5,475.2% |