BUILD UP FREE CASH
2022-12-31 (A)
2023-12-31 (A)
2024-12-31 (A)
2025-12-31 (E)
2026-12-31 (E)
2027-12-31 (E)
2028-12-31 (E)
2029-12-31 (E)

Revenue

180,518195,265247,121270,118.2283,135.3301,202.1301,202.1301,202.1

Revenue % Chg.

3.7%8.2%26.6%

EBIT

8,5799,0349,6929,6899,880.910,552.810,552.810,552.8

EBIT Margin

4.8%4.6%3.9%

Tax Rate

19.2%2.6%28.3%

NOPAT

6,9298,8036,949.47,788.27,986.58,453.98,453.98,453.9

NOPAT Margin

3.8%4.5%2.8%2.9%2.8%2.8%2.8%2.8%

D&A

1,8571,8121,7542,764.82,962.33,219.43,219.43,219.4

D&A / Revenue

1%0.9%0.7%

Capex

-1,295-1,573-1,406-1,263.1-1,402.6-1,451-1,451-1,451

Capex / Revenue

-0.7%-0.8%-0.6%

Chg. NWC

5843,4881,1922,3342,446.42,602.52,602.52,602.5

Chg. NWC / Revenue

0.3%1.8%0.5%

Unlevered FCF (UFCF)

8,07512,5308,489.411,623.911,992.612,824.812,824.812,824.8

UFCF % Chg.

28.5%55.2%-32.2%36.9%3.2%6.9%0%—

PV of UFCF

———10,841.310,432.310,405.29,704.79,051.4

Sum of PV of UFCF

———10,841.321,273.631,678.841,383.550,434.9
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate
After Tax Cost of Debt3.8%
Risk Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Beta1
Cost of Equity8.7%
Total Debt31,972
Market Cap72,727.7
Total Capital104,699.7
Debt Weighting30.5%
Equity Weighting69.5%
WACC7.2%
Exit Multiple EV/FCF
Terminal Value100,068.7
PV of Terminal Value65,871.2
Cumulative PV of UFCF50,434.9
Net Debt27,132
Equity Value89,174
Shares Outstanding267.1
Implied Share Price333.8
Current Share Price272.3
Implied Upside / (Downside)22.6%