The Cigna Group
NYSE-CI
BUILD UP FREE CASH | 2022-12-31 (A) | 2023-12-31 (A) | 2024-12-31 (A) | 2025-12-31 (E) | 2026-12-31 (E) | 2027-12-31 (E) | 2028-12-31 (E) | 2029-12-31 (E) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 180,518 | 195,265 | 247,121 | 270,118.2 | 283,135.3 | 301,202.1 | 301,202.1 | 301,202.1 |
Revenue % Chg. | 3.7% | 8.2% | 26.6% | |||||
EBIT | 8,579 | 9,034 | 9,692 | 9,689 | 9,880.9 | 10,552.8 | 10,552.8 | 10,552.8 |
EBIT Margin | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | |||||
Tax Rate | 19.2% | 2.6% | 28.3% | |||||
NOPAT | 6,929 | 8,803 | 6,949.4 | 7,788.2 | 7,986.5 | 8,453.9 | 8,453.9 | 8,453.9 |
NOPAT Margin | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% |
D&A | 1,857 | 1,812 | 1,754 | 2,764.8 | 2,962.3 | 3,219.4 | 3,219.4 | 3,219.4 |
D&A / Revenue | 1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | |||||
Capex | -1,295 | -1,573 | -1,406 | -1,263.1 | -1,402.6 | -1,451 | -1,451 | -1,451 |
Capex / Revenue | -0.7% | -0.8% | -0.6% | |||||
Chg. NWC | 584 | 3,488 | 1,192 | 2,334 | 2,446.4 | 2,602.5 | 2,602.5 | 2,602.5 |
Chg. NWC / Revenue | 0.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | |||||
Unlevered FCF (UFCF) | 8,075 | 12,530 | 8,489.4 | 11,623.9 | 11,992.6 | 12,824.8 | 12,824.8 | 12,824.8 |
UFCF % Chg. | 28.5% | 55.2% | -32.2% | 36.9% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 0% | — |
PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 10,841.3 | 10,432.3 | 10,405.2 | 9,704.7 | 9,051.4 |
Sum of PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 10,841.3 | 21,273.6 | 31,678.8 | 41,383.5 | 50,434.9 |
| Cost of Debt | |
| Tax Rate | |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 3.8% |
| Risk Free Rate | |
| Market Risk Premium | |
| Beta | 1 |
| Cost of Equity | 8.7% |
| Total Debt | 31,972 |
| Market Cap | 72,727.7 |
| Total Capital | 104,699.7 |
| Debt Weighting | 30.5% |
| Equity Weighting | 69.5% |
| WACC | 7.2% |
| Exit Multiple EV/FCF | |
| Terminal Value | 100,068.7 |
| PV of Terminal Value | 65,871.2 |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | 50,434.9 |
| Net Debt | 27,132 |
| Equity Value | 89,174 |
| Shares Outstanding | 267.1 |
| Implied Share Price | 333.8 |
| Current Share Price | 272.3 |
| Implied Upside / (Downside) | 22.6% |