BUILD UP FREE CASH
2022-12-31 (A)
2023-12-31 (A)
2024-12-31 (A)
2025-12-31 (E)
2026-12-31 (E)
2027-12-31 (E)
2028-12-31 (E)
2029-12-31 (E)

Revenue

235,916194,799195,568187,797192,073.7193,689.8193,689.8193,689.8

Revenue % Chg.

52.1%-17.4%0.4%

EBIT

42,00526,96423,29921,058.724,841.527,486.527,486.527,486.5

EBIT Margin

17.8%13.8%11.9%

Tax Rate

28.3%27.6%35.5%

NOPAT

30,110.619,514.815,034.313,413.216,616.218,718.318,718.318,718.3

NOPAT Margin

12.8%10%7.7%7.1%8.7%9.7%9.7%9.7%

D&A

15,44215,21316,78219,486.622,067.322,284.222,284.222,284.2

D&A / Revenue

6.5%7.8%8.6%

Capex

-11,974-15,829-16,448-16,815.5-19,177-18,940.5-18,940.5-18,940.5

Capex / Revenue

-5.1%-8.1%-8.4%

Chg. NWC

2,066-3,335100-491.5-502.7-506.9-506.9-506.9

Chg. NWC / Revenue

0.9%-1.7%0.1%

Unlevered FCF (UFCF)

35,644.615,563.815,468.315,592.819,003.821,555.121,555.121,555.1

UFCF % Chg.

82.9%-56.3%-0.6%0.8%21.9%13.4%——

PV of UFCF

———14,434.116,284.217,097.915,827.314,651.1

Sum of PV of UFCF

———14,434.130,718.347,816.263,643.478,294.5
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate
After Tax Cost of Debt1.5%
Risk Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Beta1
Cost of Equity8.7%
Total Debt29,611
Market Cap306,578.8
Total Capital336,189.8
Debt Weighting8.8%
Equity Weighting91.2%
WACC8%
Exit Multiple EV/FCF
Terminal Value346,152.8
PV of Terminal Value217,797.2
Cumulative PV of UFCF78,294.5
Net Debt33,817
Equity Value262,274.7
Shares Outstanding2,013.5
Implied Share Price130.3
Current Share Price152.3
Implied Upside / (Downside)-14.5%