Energy Transfer LP
NYSE-ET
BUILD UP FREE CASH | 2022-12-31 (A) | 2023-12-31 (A) | 2024-12-31 (A) | 2025-12-31 (E) | 2026-12-31 (E) | 2027-12-31 (E) | 2028-12-31 (E) | 2029-12-31 (E) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 89,876 | 78,586 | 82,671 | 85,080.7 | 96,319.2 | 99,872.3 | 99,872.3 | 99,872.3 |
Revenue % Chg. | 33.3% | -12.6% | 5.2% | |||||
EBIT | 8,124 | 8,307 | 9,190 | 9,554.2 | 10,730.7 | 11,384.8 | 11,384.8 | 11,384.8 |
EBIT Margin | 9% | 10.6% | 11.1% | |||||
Tax Rate | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | |||||
NOPAT | 7,851.1 | 7,857.3 | 8,490.3 | 9,076.5 | 10,194.1 | 10,815.5 | 10,815.5 | 10,815.5 |
NOPAT Margin | 8.7% | 10% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% |
D&A | 4,164 | 4,385 | 5,165 | 5,521.2 | 5,650.2 | 5,772 | 5,772 | 5,772 |
D&A / Revenue | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | |||||
Capex | -3,381 | -3,134 | -4,164 | -5,922 | -5,653.9 | -5,173.4 | -5,173.4 | -5,173.4 |
Capex / Revenue | -3.8% | -4% | -5% | |||||
Chg. NWC | -1,502 | -451 | -196 | -703.9 | -796.9 | -826.3 | -826.3 | -826.3 |
Chg. NWC / Revenue | -1.7% | -0.6% | -0.2% | |||||
Unlevered FCF (UFCF) | 7,132.1 | 8,657.3 | 9,295.3 | 7,971.7 | 9,393.5 | 10,587.8 | 10,587.8 | 10,587.8 |
UFCF % Chg. | -29.3% | 21.4% | 7.4% | -14.2% | 17.8% | 12.7% | — | — |
PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 7,458.9 | 8,223.9 | 8,673.2 | 8,115.4 | 7,593.3 |
Sum of PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 7,458.9 | 15,682.9 | 24,356.1 | 32,471.5 | 40,064.8 |
| Cost of Debt | |
| Tax Rate | |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 5.2% |
| Risk Free Rate | |
| Market Risk Premium | |
| Beta | 1 |
| Cost of Equity | 8.7% |
| Total Debt | 60,558 |
| Market Cap | 57,371.9 |
| Total Capital | 117,929.9 |
| Debt Weighting | 51.4% |
| Equity Weighting | 48.6% |
| WACC | 6.9% |
| Exit Multiple EV/FCF | |
| Terminal Value | 133,624.9 |
| PV of Terminal Value | 89,668.8 |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | 40,064.8 |
| Net Debt | 60,400 |
| Equity Value | 69,333.6 |
| Shares Outstanding | 3,433.4 |
| Implied Share Price | 20.2 |
| Current Share Price | 16.7 |
| Implied Upside / (Downside) | 20.8% |