BUILD UP FREE CASH
2022-12-31 (A)
2023-12-31 (A)
2024-12-31 (A)
2025-12-31 (E)
2026-12-31 (E)
2027-12-31 (E)
2028-12-31 (E)
2029-12-31 (E)

Revenue

89,87678,58682,67185,080.796,319.299,872.399,872.399,872.3

Revenue % Chg.

33.3%-12.6%5.2%

EBIT

8,1248,3079,1909,554.210,730.711,384.811,384.811,384.8

EBIT Margin

9%10.6%11.1%

Tax Rate

3.4%5.4%7.6%

NOPAT

7,851.17,857.38,490.39,076.510,194.110,815.510,815.510,815.5

NOPAT Margin

8.7%10%10.3%10.7%10.6%10.8%10.8%10.8%

D&A

4,1644,3855,1655,521.25,650.25,7725,7725,772

D&A / Revenue

4.6%5.6%6.2%

Capex

-3,381-3,134-4,164-5,922-5,653.9-5,173.4-5,173.4-5,173.4

Capex / Revenue

-3.8%-4%-5%

Chg. NWC

-1,502-451-196-703.9-796.9-826.3-826.3-826.3

Chg. NWC / Revenue

-1.7%-0.6%-0.2%

Unlevered FCF (UFCF)

7,132.18,657.39,295.37,971.79,393.510,587.810,587.810,587.8

UFCF % Chg.

-29.3%21.4%7.4%-14.2%17.8%12.7%——

PV of UFCF

———7,458.98,223.98,673.28,115.47,593.3

Sum of PV of UFCF

———7,458.915,682.924,356.132,471.540,064.8
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate
After Tax Cost of Debt5.2%
Risk Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Beta1
Cost of Equity8.7%
Total Debt60,558
Market Cap57,371.9
Total Capital117,929.9
Debt Weighting51.4%
Equity Weighting48.6%
WACC6.9%
Exit Multiple EV/FCF
Terminal Value133,624.9
PV of Terminal Value89,668.8
Cumulative PV of UFCF40,064.8
Net Debt60,400
Equity Value69,333.6
Shares Outstanding3,433.4
Implied Share Price20.2
Current Share Price16.7
Implied Upside / (Downside)20.8%