BUILD UP FREE CASH
2023-01-29 (A)
2024-01-28 (A)
2025-02-02 (A)
2026-01-31 (E)
2027-01-31 (E)
2028-01-31 (E)
2029-01-31 (E)
2030-01-31 (E)

Revenue

157,403152,669159,514164,275171,545.2178,969.1178,969.1178,969.1

Revenue % Chg.

4.1%-3%4.5%

EBIT

24,03921,68921,52621,338.922,172.723,617.723,617.723,617.7

EBIT Margin

15.3%14.2%13.5%

Tax Rate

23.9%24%23.7%

NOPAT

18,293.716,484.516,423.516,118.316,727.117,836.617,836.617,836.6

NOPAT Margin

11.6%10.8%10.3%9.8%9.8%10%10%10%

D&A

2,9753,2473,7613,031.13,127.33,290.63,290.63,290.6

D&A / Revenue

1.9%2.1%2.4%

Capex

-3,119-3,226-3,485-3,973.9-4,028.4-4,165.7-4,165.7-4,165.7

Capex / Revenue

-2%-2.1%-2.2%

Chg. NWC

-6,1022,088694-1,135.7-1,185.9-1,237.2-1,237.2-1,237.2

Chg. NWC / Revenue

-3.9%1.4%0.4%

Unlevered FCF (UFCF)

12,047.718,593.517,393.514,039.714,640.115,724.215,724.215,724.2

UFCF % Chg.

-16.3%54.3%-6.5%-19.3%4.3%7.4%

PV of UFCF

13,015.512,581.912,527.811,613.910,766.6

Sum of PV of UFCF

13,015.525,597.438,125.249,739.160,505.7
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate
After Tax Cost of Debt3%
Risk Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Beta1
Cost of Equity8.7%
Total Debt63,085
Market Cap358,035.7
Total Capital421,120.7
Debt Weighting15%
Equity Weighting85%
WACC7.9%
Exit Multiple EV/FCF
Terminal Value422,333.7
PV of Terminal Value268,081.3
Cumulative PV of UFCF60,505.7
Net Debt64,298
Equity Value264,289
Shares Outstanding995.5
Implied Share Price265.5
Current Share Price359.7
Implied Upside / (Downside)-26.2%