BUILD UP FREE CASH
2022-12-31 (A)
2023-12-31 (A)
2024-12-31 (A)
2025-12-31 (E)
2026-12-31 (E)
2027-12-31 (E)
2028-12-31 (E)
2029-12-31 (E)

Revenue

43,00445,75447,06148,266.250,58252,479.752,479.752,479.7

Revenue % Chg.

11.3%6.4%2.9%

EBIT

12,34113,24614,30115,143.316,180.517,263.417,263.417,263.4

EBIT Margin

28.7%29%30.4%

Tax Rate

18.1%17.4%18.6%

NOPAT

10,107.510,94611,637.712,032.512,881.513,719.513,719.513,719.5

NOPAT Margin

23.5%23.9%24.7%24.9%25.5%26.1%26.1%26.1%

D&A

1,2601,1281,0751,106.31,163.91,192.41,192.41,192.4

D&A / Revenue

2.9%2.5%2.3%

Capex

-1,484-1,852-2,064-2,124.1-2,207.2-2,197.1-2,197.1-2,197.1

Capex / Revenue

-3.5%-4%-4.4%

Chg. NWC

-605-846-6,234-2,655-2,782.4-2,886.8-2,886.8-2,886.8

Chg. NWC / Revenue

-1.4%-1.8%-13.2%

Unlevered FCF (UFCF)

9,278.59,3764,414.78,359.79,055.79,8289,8289,828

UFCF % Chg.

-11.1%1.1%-52.9%89.4%8.3%8.5%

PV of UFCF

7,743.87,770.47,811.77,236.16,702.9

Sum of PV of UFCF

7,743.815,514.223,325.830,561.937,264.8
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate
After Tax Cost of Debt3%
Risk Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Beta1
Cost of Equity8.7%
Total Debt46,657
Market Cap303,349.5
Total Capital350,006.5
Debt Weighting13.3%
Equity Weighting86.7%
WACC8%
Exit Multiple EV/FCF
Terminal Value337,749.5
PV of Terminal Value213,379
Cumulative PV of UFCF37,264.8
Net Debt32,380
Equity Value218,263.7
Shares Outstanding4,301.6
Implied Share Price50.7
Current Share Price70.5
Implied Upside / (Downside)-28%