Lockheed Martin Corporation
NYSE-LMT
BUILD UP FREE CASH | 2022-12-31 (A) | 2023-12-31 (A) | 2024-12-31 (A) | 2025-12-31 (E) | 2026-12-31 (E) | 2027-12-31 (E) | 2028-12-31 (E) | 2029-12-31 (E) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 65,984 | 67,571 | 71,043 | 74,559.5 | 77,762.6 | 80,742.5 | 80,742.5 | 80,742.5 |
Revenue % Chg. | -1.6% | 2.4% | 5.1% | |||||
EBIT | 7,469 | 9,058 | 7,181 | 7,667.4 | 9,320 | 9,657.9 | 9,657.9 | 9,657.9 |
EBIT Margin | 11.3% | 13.4% | 10.1% | |||||
Tax Rate | 14.2% | 14.5% | 14.2% | |||||
NOPAT | 6,409 | 7,740.4 | 6,160.4 | 6,377.9 | 7,772.9 | 8,041.4 | 8,041.4 | 8,041.4 |
NOPAT Margin | 9.7% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
D&A | 1,151 | 1,167 | 1,213 | 1,637.7 | 1,644.1 | 1,724.1 | 1,724.1 | 1,724.1 |
D&A / Revenue | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | |||||
Capex | -1,670 | -1,691 | -1,685 | -1,882.9 | -1,923.1 | -1,953.6 | -1,953.6 | -1,953.6 |
Capex / Revenue | -2.5% | -2.5% | -2.4% | |||||
Chg. NWC | -585 | 184 | -163 | -209.7 | -218.7 | -227.1 | -227.1 | -227.1 |
Chg. NWC / Revenue | -0.9% | 0.3% | -0.2% | |||||
Unlevered FCF (UFCF) | 5,305 | 7,400.4 | 5,525.4 | 5,923 | 7,275.2 | 7,584.9 | 7,584.9 | 7,584.9 |
UFCF % Chg. | -15.3% | 39.5% | -25.3% | 7.2% | 22.8% | 4.3% | — | — |
PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 5,480 | 6,227.6 | 6,007 | 5,557.7 | 5,142.1 |
Sum of PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 5,480 | 11,707.6 | 17,714.7 | 23,272.4 | 28,414.5 |
| Cost of Debt | |
| Tax Rate | |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 4.6% |
| Risk Free Rate | |
| Market Risk Premium | |
| Beta | 1 |
| Cost of Equity | 8.8% |
| Total Debt | 21,418 |
| Market Cap | 108,280.3 |
| Total Capital | 129,698.3 |
| Debt Weighting | 16.5% |
| Equity Weighting | 83.5% |
| WACC | 8.1% |
| Exit Multiple EV/FCF | |
| Terminal Value | 126,999.3 |
| PV of Terminal Value | 79,657.7 |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | 28,414.5 |
| Net Debt | 18,719 |
| Equity Value | 89,353.2 |
| Shares Outstanding | 231.4 |
| Implied Share Price | 386.1 |
| Current Share Price | 474.9 |
| Implied Upside / (Downside) | -18.7% |