BUILD UP FREE CASH
2022-12-31 (A)
2023-12-31 (A)
2024-12-31 (A)
2025-12-31 (E)
2026-12-31 (E)
2027-12-31 (E)
2028-12-31 (E)
2029-12-31 (E)

Revenue

65,98467,57171,04374,559.577,762.680,742.580,742.580,742.5

Revenue % Chg.

-1.6%2.4%5.1%

EBIT

7,4699,0587,1817,667.49,3209,657.99,657.99,657.9

EBIT Margin

11.3%13.4%10.1%

Tax Rate

14.2%14.5%14.2%

NOPAT

6,4097,740.46,160.46,377.97,772.98,041.48,041.48,041.4

NOPAT Margin

9.7%11.5%8.7%8.6%10%10%10%10%

D&A

1,1511,1671,2131,637.71,644.11,724.11,724.11,724.1

D&A / Revenue

1.7%1.7%1.7%

Capex

-1,670-1,691-1,685-1,882.9-1,923.1-1,953.6-1,953.6-1,953.6

Capex / Revenue

-2.5%-2.5%-2.4%

Chg. NWC

-585184-163-209.7-218.7-227.1-227.1-227.1

Chg. NWC / Revenue

-0.9%0.3%-0.2%

Unlevered FCF (UFCF)

5,3057,400.45,525.45,9237,275.27,584.97,584.97,584.9

UFCF % Chg.

-15.3%39.5%-25.3%7.2%22.8%4.3%——

PV of UFCF

———5,4806,227.66,0075,557.75,142.1

Sum of PV of UFCF

———5,48011,707.617,714.723,272.428,414.5
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate
After Tax Cost of Debt4.6%
Risk Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Beta1
Cost of Equity8.8%
Total Debt21,418
Market Cap108,280.3
Total Capital129,698.3
Debt Weighting16.5%
Equity Weighting83.5%
WACC8.1%
Exit Multiple EV/FCF
Terminal Value126,999.3
PV of Terminal Value79,657.7
Cumulative PV of UFCF28,414.5
Net Debt18,719
Equity Value89,353.2
Shares Outstanding231.4
Implied Share Price386.1
Current Share Price474.9
Implied Upside / (Downside)-18.7%