BUILD UP FREE CASH
2022-12-31 (A)
2023-12-31 (A)
2024-12-31 (A)
2025-12-31 (E)
2026-12-31 (E)
2027-12-31 (E)
2028-12-31 (E)
2029-12-31 (E)

Revenue

68,76466,90170,98279,687.277,574.780,389.480,389.480,389.4

Revenue % Chg.

0.1%-2.7%6.1%

EBIT

3,6212,2075,5457,7498,1188,4718,4718,471

EBIT Margin

5.3%3.3%7.8%

Tax Rate

16.7%25.9%21%

NOPAT

3,016.71,635.34,383.15,886.76,161.66,425.36,425.36,425.3

NOPAT Margin

4.4%2.4%6.2%7.4%7.9%8%8%8%

D&A

673718714460.7448.5464.8464.8464.8

D&A / Revenue

1%1.1%1%

Capex

———-3,093.2-3,011.2-3,120.4-3,120.4-3,120.4

Capex / Revenue

———

Chg. NWC

2,0991,4481,3661,896.91,846.61,913.61,913.61,913.6

Chg. NWC / Revenue

3.1%2.2%1.9%

Unlevered FCF (UFCF)

5,788.73,801.36,463.15,151.15,445.55,683.25,683.25,683.2

UFCF % Chg.

-46.4%-34.3%70%-20.3%5.7%4.4%——

PV of UFCF

———4,928.44,984.94,977.64,762.44,556.5

Sum of PV of UFCF

———4,928.49,913.314,890.919,653.324,209.8
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate
After Tax Cost of Debt1.2%
Risk Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Beta1
Cost of Equity8.7%
Total Debt64,662
Market Cap51,070.7
Total Capital115,732.7
Debt Weighting55.9%
Equity Weighting44.1%
WACC4.5%
Exit Multiple EV/FCF
Terminal Value78,957.7
PV of Terminal Value60,567.4
Cumulative PV of UFCF24,209.8
Net Debt27,640
Equity Value57,137.2
Shares Outstanding658.9
Implied Share Price86.7
Current Share Price78
Implied Upside / (Downside)11.1%