MetLife, Inc.
NYSE-MET
BUILD UP FREE CASH | 2022-12-31 (A) | 2023-12-31 (A) | 2024-12-31 (A) | 2025-12-31 (E) | 2026-12-31 (E) | 2027-12-31 (E) | 2028-12-31 (E) | 2029-12-31 (E) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 68,764 | 66,901 | 70,982 | 79,687.2 | 77,574.7 | 80,389.4 | 80,389.4 | 80,389.4 |
Revenue % Chg. | 0.1% | -2.7% | 6.1% | |||||
EBIT | 3,621 | 2,207 | 5,545 | 7,749 | 8,118 | 8,471 | 8,471 | 8,471 |
EBIT Margin | 5.3% | 3.3% | 7.8% | |||||
Tax Rate | 16.7% | 25.9% | 21% | |||||
NOPAT | 3,016.7 | 1,635.3 | 4,383.1 | 5,886.7 | 6,161.6 | 6,425.3 | 6,425.3 | 6,425.3 |
NOPAT Margin | 4.4% | 2.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
D&A | 673 | 718 | 714 | 460.7 | 448.5 | 464.8 | 464.8 | 464.8 |
D&A / Revenue | 1% | 1.1% | 1% | |||||
Capex | — | — | — | -3,093.2 | -3,011.2 | -3,120.4 | -3,120.4 | -3,120.4 |
Capex / Revenue | — | — | — | |||||
Chg. NWC | 2,099 | 1,448 | 1,366 | 1,896.9 | 1,846.6 | 1,913.6 | 1,913.6 | 1,913.6 |
Chg. NWC / Revenue | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | |||||
Unlevered FCF (UFCF) | 5,788.7 | 3,801.3 | 6,463.1 | 5,151.1 | 5,445.5 | 5,683.2 | 5,683.2 | 5,683.2 |
UFCF % Chg. | -46.4% | -34.3% | 70% | -20.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | — | — |
PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 4,928.4 | 4,984.9 | 4,977.6 | 4,762.4 | 4,556.5 |
Sum of PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 4,928.4 | 9,913.3 | 14,890.9 | 19,653.3 | 24,209.8 |
| Cost of Debt | |
| Tax Rate | |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 1.2% |
| Risk Free Rate | |
| Market Risk Premium | |
| Beta | 1 |
| Cost of Equity | 8.7% |
| Total Debt | 64,662 |
| Market Cap | 51,070.7 |
| Total Capital | 115,732.7 |
| Debt Weighting | 55.9% |
| Equity Weighting | 44.1% |
| WACC | 4.5% |
| Exit Multiple EV/FCF | |
| Terminal Value | 78,957.7 |
| PV of Terminal Value | 60,567.4 |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | 24,209.8 |
| Net Debt | 27,640 |
| Equity Value | 57,137.2 |
| Shares Outstanding | 658.9 |
| Implied Share Price | 86.7 |
| Current Share Price | 78 |
| Implied Upside / (Downside) | 11.1% |