Oracle Corporation
NYSE-ORCL
BUILD UP FREE CASH | 2023-05-31 (A) | 2024-05-31 (A) | 2025-05-31 (A) | 2026-05-31 (E) | 2027-05-31 (E) | 2028-05-31 (E) | 2029-05-31 (E) | 2030-05-31 (E) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 49,954 | 52,961 | 57,399 | 66,943.5 | 85,932.1 | 127,266.7 | 127,266.7 | 127,266.7 |
Revenue % Chg. | 17.7% | 6% | 8.4% | |||||
EBIT | 13,670 | 15,764 | 17,954 | 28,334.8 | 34,230.9 | 46,011 | 46,011 | 46,011 |
EBIT Margin | 27.4% | 29.8% | 31.3% | |||||
Tax Rate | 6.8% | 10.9% | 12.1% | |||||
NOPAT | 12,736.8 | 14,053.5 | 15,777 | 22,705.6 | 27,611.7 | 37,103.3 | 37,103.3 | 37,103.3 |
NOPAT Margin | 25.5% | 26.5% | 27.5% | 33.9% | 32.1% | 29.2% | 29.2% | 29.2% |
D&A | 6,108 | 5,463 | 5,532 | 6,971.8 | 10,627 | 15,317.3 | 15,317.3 | 15,317.3 |
D&A / Revenue | 12.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | |||||
Capex | -8,695 | -6,866 | -21,215 | -50,256.3 | -54,376.9 | -66,873.8 | -66,873.8 | -66,873.8 |
Capex / Revenue | -17.4% | -13% | -37% | |||||
Chg. NWC | 513 | -488 | -1,500 | -559.6 | -718.3 | -1,063.9 | -1,063.9 | -1,063.9 |
Chg. NWC / Revenue | 1% | -0.9% | -2.6% | |||||
Unlevered FCF (UFCF) | 10,662.8 | 12,162.5 | -1,406 | -21,138.5 | -16,856.5 | -15,517.1 | -15,517.1 | -15,517.1 |
UFCF % Chg. | 1.3% | 14.1% | -111.6% | 1,403.4% | -20.3% | -7.9% | -0% | — |
PV of UFCF | — | — | — | -19,609.6 | -14,506.4 | -12,387.9 | -11,492 | -10,660.8 |
Sum of PV of UFCF | — | — | — | -19,609.6 | -34,116.1 | -46,504 | -57,996 | -68,656.8 |
| Cost of Debt | |
| Tax Rate | |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 3.2% |
| Risk Free Rate | |
| Market Risk Premium | |
| Beta | 1 |
| Cost of Equity | 8.7% |
| Total Debt | 108,952 |
| Market Cap | 545,808.5 |
| Total Capital | 654,760.5 |
| Debt Weighting | 16.6% |
| Equity Weighting | 83.4% |
| WACC | 7.8% |
| Exit Multiple EV/FCF | |
| Terminal Value | 658,278.5 |
| PV of Terminal Value | 419,551.6 |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | -68,656.8 |
| Net Debt | 111,964 |
| Equity Value | 238,930.8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 2,873.1 |
| Implied Share Price | 83.2 |
| Current Share Price | 184.9 |
| Implied Upside / (Downside) | -55% |