BUILD UP FREE CASH
2022-12-31 (A)
2023-12-31 (A)
2024-12-31 (A)
2025-12-31 (E)
2026-12-31 (E)
2027-12-31 (E)
2028-12-31 (E)
2029-12-31 (E)

Revenue

4,324.44,6965,124.95,311.35,5135,886.45,886.45,886.4

Revenue % Chg.

13.7%8.6%9.1%

EBIT

830.4865.31,060.91,061.91,108.11,333.21,333.21,333.2

EBIT Margin

19.2%18.4%20.7%

Tax Rate

13%12.9%15%

NOPAT

722.5753.6901.7913.7968.51,149.91,149.91,149.9

NOPAT Margin

16.7%16%17.6%17.2%17.6%19.5%19.5%19.5%

D&A

817.8854.1956.2935.61,005.21,078.11,078.11,078.1

D&A / Revenue

18.9%18.2%18.7%

Capex

-1,735.5-1,889.9-2,297.5-2,400-2,600-2,672.5-2,672.5-2,672.5

Capex / Revenue

-40.1%-40.2%-44.8%

Chg. NWC

-13.6-172.4-80.7-98.4-102.2-109.1-109.1-109.1

Chg. NWC / Revenue

-0.3%-3.7%-1.6%

Unlevered FCF (UFCF)

-208.8-454.6-520.3-649.1-728.4-553.6-553.6-553.6

UFCF % Chg.

-42.8%117.7%14.5%24.7%12.2%-24%——

PV of UFCF

———-612.5-648.7-465.3-439.1-414.4

Sum of PV of UFCF

———-612.5-1,261.3-1,726.5-2,165.6-2,580
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate
After Tax Cost of Debt3.4%
Risk Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Beta1
Cost of Equity8.6%
Total Debt11,048.3
Market Cap10,597.4
Total Capital21,645.7
Debt Weighting51%
Equity Weighting49%
WACC6%
Exit Multiple EV/FCF
Terminal Value24,856.2
PV of Terminal Value17,559
Cumulative PV of UFCF-2,580
Net Debt14,215.7
Equity Value763.3
Shares Outstanding119.7
Implied Share Price6.4
Current Share Price88.5
Implied Upside / (Downside)-92.8%