Targa Resources Corp.
NYSE-TRGP
BUILD UP FREE CASH | 2022-12-31 (A) | 2023-12-31 (A) | 2024-12-31 (A) | 2025-12-31 (E) | 2026-12-31 (E) | 2027-12-31 (E) | 2028-12-31 (E) | 2029-12-31 (E) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 20,929.8 | 16,060.3 | 16,381.5 | 17,520.7 | 19,945.8 | 21,356 | 21,356 | 21,356 |
Revenue % Chg. | 23.5% | -23.3% | 2% | |||||
EBIT | 1,729 | 2,626.2 | 2,695.4 | 3,281 | 3,557.9 | 3,961 | 3,961 | 3,961 |
EBIT Margin | 8.3% | 16.4% | 16.5% | |||||
Tax Rate | 7.9% | 18.7% | 19.8% | |||||
NOPAT | 1,592 | 2,135.2 | 2,160.6 | 2,575.6 | 2,810.8 | 3,129.2 | 3,129.2 | 3,129.2 |
NOPAT Margin | 7.6% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 14.7% |
D&A | 1,100.8 | 1,335.5 | 1,433.6 | 1,517.8 | 1,650.9 | 1,745.8 | 1,745.8 | 1,745.8 |
D&A / Revenue | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | |||||
Capex | -1,334.3 | -2,385.4 | -2,965.8 | -3,780.1 | -3,396.7 | -2,667.7 | -2,667.7 | -2,667.7 |
Capex / Revenue | -6.4% | -14.9% | -18.1% | |||||
Chg. NWC | -364 | 139.2 | 38.7 | -37.2 | -42.3 | -45.3 | -45.3 | -45.3 |
Chg. NWC / Revenue | -1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |||||
Unlevered FCF (UFCF) | 994.5 | 1,224.5 | 667.1 | 276.2 | 1,022.6 | 2,162.1 | 2,162.1 | 2,162.1 |
UFCF % Chg. | -46.6% | 23.1% | -45.5% | -58.6% | 270.2% | 111.4% | — | — |
PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 256.5 | 882 | 1,732.1 | 1,608.7 | 1,494.1 |
Sum of PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 256.5 | 1,138.6 | 2,870.7 | 4,479.4 | 5,973.4 |
| Cost of Debt | |
| Tax Rate | |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 4.7% |
| Risk Free Rate | |
| Market Risk Premium | |
| Beta | 1 |
| Cost of Equity | 8.7% |
| Total Debt | 14,290.2 |
| Market Cap | 39,868.5 |
| Total Capital | 54,158.7 |
| Debt Weighting | 26.4% |
| Equity Weighting | 73.6% |
| WACC | 7.7% |
| Exit Multiple EV/FCF | |
| Terminal Value | 57,302.7 |
| PV of Terminal Value | 36,776.6 |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | 5,973.4 |
| Net Debt | 17,307.2 |
| Equity Value | 25,442.8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 214.7 |
| Implied Share Price | 118.5 |
| Current Share Price | 185.7 |
| Implied Upside / (Downside) | -36.2% |