U-Haul Holding Company
NYSE-UHAL
BUILD UP FREE CASH | 2023-03-31 (A) | 2024-03-31 (A) | 2025-03-31 (A) | 2026-03-31 (E) | 2027-03-31 (E) | 2028-03-31 (E) | 2029-03-31 (E) | 2030-03-31 (E) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 5,864.7 | 5,625.7 | 5,828.7 | 6,092.6 | 6,347.8 | 6,338.5 | 6,338.5 | 6,338.5 |
Revenue % Chg. | 2.2% | -4.1% | 3.6% | |||||
EBIT | 1,450 | 984.2 | 730.4 | 484.6 | 784.7 | 807.4 | 807.4 | 807.4 |
EBIT Margin | 24.7% | 17.5% | 12.5% | |||||
Tax Rate | 24.2% | 25.2% | 23.1% | |||||
NOPAT | 1,099.3 | 736.5 | 561.5 | 372.5 | 603.2 | 620.7 | 620.7 | 620.7 |
NOPAT Margin | 18.7% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% |
D&A | 756.3 | 841.8 | 982.5 | 1,330.8 | 1,048 | 1,084.8 | 1,084.8 | 1,084.8 |
D&A / Revenue | 12.9% | 15% | 16.9% | |||||
Capex | -2,723.9 | -2,992.9 | -3,452.5 | -3,227.7 | -3,353.7 | -3,467.4 | -3,467.4 | -3,467.4 |
Capex / Revenue | -46.4% | -53.2% | -59.2% | |||||
Chg. NWC | 63.1 | -61.6 | -39.4 | -14.1 | -14.7 | -14.7 | -14.7 | -14.7 |
Chg. NWC / Revenue | 1.1% | -1.1% | -0.7% | |||||
Unlevered FCF (UFCF) | -805.3 | -1,476.2 | -1,947.8 | -1,538.5 | -1,717.2 | -1,776.5 | -1,776.5 | -1,776.5 |
UFCF % Chg. | 1,719% | 83.3% | 31.9% | -21% | 11.6% | 3.5% | 0% | — |
PV of UFCF | — | — | — | -1,445 | -1,514.8 | -1,471.8 | -1,382.4 | -1,298.3 |
Sum of PV of UFCF | — | — | — | -1,445 | -2,959.7 | -4,431.6 | -5,814 | -7,112.3 |
| Cost of Debt | |
| Tax Rate | |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 3.3% |
| Risk Free Rate | |
| Market Risk Premium | |
| Beta | 1 |
| Cost of Equity | 8.8% |
| Total Debt | 7,240.8 |
| Market Cap | 9,937.8 |
| Total Capital | 17,178.6 |
| Debt Weighting | 42.2% |
| Equity Weighting | 57.8% |
| WACC | 6.5% |
| Exit Multiple EV/FCF | |
| Terminal Value | 16,440.3 |
| PV of Terminal Value | 11,284.4 |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | -7,112.3 |
| Net Debt | 6,654.4 |
| Equity Value | -2,482.3 |
| Shares Outstanding | 196.1 |
| Implied Share Price | -12.7 |
| Current Share Price | 54.6 |
| Implied Upside / (Downside) | -123.2% |