BUILD UP FREE CASH
2023-03-31 (A)
2024-03-31 (A)
2025-03-31 (A)
2026-03-31 (E)
2027-03-31 (E)
2028-03-31 (E)
2029-03-31 (E)
2030-03-31 (E)

Revenue

5,864.75,625.75,828.76,092.66,347.86,338.56,338.56,338.5

Revenue % Chg.

2.2%-4.1%3.6%

EBIT

1,450984.2730.4484.6784.7807.4807.4807.4

EBIT Margin

24.7%17.5%12.5%

Tax Rate

24.2%25.2%23.1%

NOPAT

1,099.3736.5561.5372.5603.2620.7620.7620.7

NOPAT Margin

18.7%13.1%9.6%6.1%9.5%9.8%9.8%9.8%

D&A

756.3841.8982.51,330.81,0481,084.81,084.81,084.8

D&A / Revenue

12.9%15%16.9%

Capex

-2,723.9-2,992.9-3,452.5-3,227.7-3,353.7-3,467.4-3,467.4-3,467.4

Capex / Revenue

-46.4%-53.2%-59.2%

Chg. NWC

63.1-61.6-39.4-14.1-14.7-14.7-14.7-14.7

Chg. NWC / Revenue

1.1%-1.1%-0.7%

Unlevered FCF (UFCF)

-805.3-1,476.2-1,947.8-1,538.5-1,717.2-1,776.5-1,776.5-1,776.5

UFCF % Chg.

1,719%83.3%31.9%-21%11.6%3.5%0%—

PV of UFCF

———-1,445-1,514.8-1,471.8-1,382.4-1,298.3

Sum of PV of UFCF

———-1,445-2,959.7-4,431.6-5,814-7,112.3
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate
After Tax Cost of Debt3.3%
Risk Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Beta1
Cost of Equity8.8%
Total Debt7,240.8
Market Cap9,937.8
Total Capital17,178.6
Debt Weighting42.2%
Equity Weighting57.8%
WACC6.5%
Exit Multiple EV/FCF
Terminal Value16,440.3
PV of Terminal Value11,284.4
Cumulative PV of UFCF-7,112.3
Net Debt6,654.4
Equity Value-2,482.3
Shares Outstanding196.1
Implied Share Price-12.7
Current Share Price54.6
Implied Upside / (Downside)-123.2%