XPO, Inc.
NYSE-XPO
Company Overview
XPO Logistics, Inc. provides freight transportation services in the United States, rest of North America, France, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, North American LTL and Brokerage and Other Services. The North American LTL segment provides customers with less-than-truckload (LTL) services, such as geographic density and day-definite regional, inter-regional, and transcontinental LTL freight services. This segment also offers cross-border U.S. service to and from Mexico and Canada, as well as intra-Canada service. The Brokerage and Other Services segment offers last mile logistics for heavy goods sold through e-commerce, omnichannel retail, and direct-to-consumer channels, as well as other non-core brokered freight transportation modes. It provides its services to customers in various industries, such as industrial and manufacturing, retail and e-commerce, food and beverage, logistics and transportation, and consumer goods. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Greenwich, Connecticut.
Name
XPO, Inc.
CEO
Mario A. Harik
Website
www.xpo.com
Sector
Ground Transportation
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Bulls Say
Yellow's bankruptcy tightened up the LTL industry supply/demand equation, strengthening XPO's pricing power. XPO's investments targeting higher network service quality are contributing to pricing gains as well.
E-commerce growth should provide incremental demand tailwinds for LTL carriers over the longer term—more frequent yet smaller shipments.
XPO is pushing for significant incremental margin improvement longer term, targeting 600 basis points of LTL segment OR gains by 2027, versus a baseline 87.6% adjusted OR in 2021.
Bears Say
US tariffs will probably temper US goods consumption growth, pressuring retail end-market freight demand into 2026.
Underlying demand across the broader LTL trucking industry continues to face headwinds from lackluster industrial end markets.
Most of the large, high-quality LTL carriers started expanding their terminal footprint in 2023, and that trend will likely continue through 2026. This dynamic raises the risk of industry overcapacity at some point.
What's happening
Nov 11, 2025 - Dec 11, 2025
XPO Inc. Navigates Mixed Signals and Market Resilience
- XPO Inc. demonstrated strong performance relative to the S&P 500, achieving a notable movement of 2.4%.
- Positive sentiment in the less-than-truckload (LTL) segment was highlighted by analysts from Evercore and Citi, contributing to investor confidence.
- Disappointing operational data released on December 2 revealed a decline in LTL tonnage per day, leading to bearish pressures early in December.
Over the past month, XPO Inc. experienced an overall increase of 2.4%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's return of just 0.3%. This performance underscores XPO's resilience within the logistics sector amid varying market conditions.
The bullish outlook for XPO gained momentum on December 3 when reports from Evercore and Citi pointed out positive trends in its LTL segment. Analysts observed increased activity alongside competitors such as ODFL and SAIA, suggesting that XPO is well-positioned to meet its fourth-quarter targets despite potential challenges ahead.
However, early December brought bearish pressures due to disappointing operational data released on December 2, which indicated a preliminary decline of 5.4% in LTL tonnage per day for November compared to the previous year. This decrease stemmed from reductions in both shipments and weight per shipment, resulting in a significant premarket drop of approximately 4% as investors reacted negatively to signs of softening industrial demand.
Analyst opinions varied during this timeframe; JPMorgan lowered its price target while maintaining an Overweight rating on December 8, whereas Morgan Stanley raised their target but retained an Underweight stance on the stock—reflecting differing perspectives regarding future performance amidst fluctuating market dynamics.
Despite these fluctuations throughout the month, it is important to note that overall performance remained robust enough for XPO Inc., which not only outperformed the S&P by an impressive margin of overperformance at 2.1% but also exceeded expectations within its sector by outperforming Industrials (XLI) by 1.2%.