BUILD UP FREE CASH
2023-09-30 (A)
2024-09-28 (A)
2025-09-27 (A)
2026-09-30 (E)
2027-09-30 (E)
2028-09-30 (E)
2029-09-30 (E)
2030-09-30 (E)

Revenue

383,285391,035416,161452,770.9482,072.4513,390.2513,390.2513,390.2

Revenue % Chg.

-2.8%2%6.4%

EBIT

114,301123,216133,050144,793.6156,856.5170,654.9170,654.9170,654.9

EBIT Margin

29.8%31.5%32%

Tax Rate

14.7%24.1%15.6%

NOPAT

97,476.993,531.9112,280.9120,883.4131,116.4143,288.2143,288.2143,288.2

NOPAT Margin

25.4%23.9%27%26.7%27.2%27.9%27.9%27.9%

D&A

11,51911,44511,69812,326.613,286.414,700.814,700.814,700.8

D&A / Revenue

3%2.9%2.8%

Capex

-10,959-9,447-12,715-13,855-15,260.9-15,646.7-15,646.7-15,646.7

Capex / Revenue

-2.9%-2.4%-3.1%

Chg. NWC

-6,5773,651-25,000-10,247.1-10,910.2-11,619-11,619-11,619

Chg. NWC / Revenue

-1.7%0.9%-6%

Unlevered FCF (UFCF)

91,459.999,180.986,263.9109,108118,231.6130,723.3130,723.3130,723.3

UFCF % Chg.

-10.1%8.4%-13%26.5%8.4%10.6%——

PV of UFCF

———100,571.4100,454.6102,378.294,368.286,984.9

Sum of PV of UFCF

———100,571.4201,026.1303,404.3397,772.5484,757.5
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate
After Tax Cost of Debt—
Risk Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Beta1
Cost of Equity8.7%
Total Debt112,377
Market Cap4,111,963.5
Total Capital4,224,340.5
Debt Weighting2.7%
Equity Weighting97.3%
WACC8.5%
Exit Multiple EV/FCF
Terminal Value4,091,920.5
PV of Terminal Value2,509,783.7
Cumulative PV of UFCF484,757.5
Net Debt-20,043
Equity Value3,014,584.2
Shares Outstanding14,776.4
Implied Share Price204
Current Share Price278.3
Implied Upside / (Downside)-26.7%