BUILD UP FREE CASH
2022-12-31 (A)
2023-12-31 (A)
2024-12-31 (A)
2025-12-31 (E)
2026-12-31 (E)
2027-12-31 (E)
2028-12-31 (E)
2029-12-31 (E)

Revenue

513,983574,785637,959714,722.4793,799.1883,549.2883,549.2883,549.2

Revenue % Chg.

9.4%11.8%11%

EBIT

13,34836,85268,59379,935.3100,409.2124,198124,198124,198

EBIT Margin

2.6%6.4%10.8%

Tax Rate

54.2%19%13.5%

NOPAT

6,117.729,863.459,317.264,579.882,059.4101,924.9101,924.9101,924.9

NOPAT Margin

1.2%5.2%9.3%9%10.3%11.5%11.5%11.5%

D&A

41,92148,66351,87564,154.178,051.797,661.897,661.897,661.8

D&A / Revenue

8.2%8.5%8.1%

Capex

-63,645-52,729-82,999-124,020.6-137,309.7-148,435-148,435-148,435

Capex / Revenue

-12.4%-9.2%-13%

Chg. NWC

-20,886-11,541-15,541-20,268.3-22,510.8-25,056-25,056-25,056

Chg. NWC / Revenue

-4.1%-2%-2.4%

Unlevered FCF (UFCF)

-36,492.314,256.412,652.2-15,555290.626,095.826,095.826,095.8

UFCF % Chg.

49.1%-139.1%-11.3%-222.9%-101.9%8,881.4%——

PV of UFCF

———-14,368.4247.920,567.618,998.617,549.2

Sum of PV of UFCF

———-14,368.4-14,120.56,447.125,445.642,994.9
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate
After Tax Cost of Debt1.1%
Risk Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Beta1
Cost of Equity8.7%
Total Debt155,401
Market Cap2,418,020
Total Capital2,573,421
Debt Weighting6%
Equity Weighting94%
WACC8.3%
Exit Multiple EV/FCF
Terminal Value2,484,261
PV of Terminal Value1,543,200.3
Cumulative PV of UFCF42,994.9
Net Debt66,241
Equity Value1,519,954.2
Shares Outstanding10,690.2
Implied Share Price142.2
Current Share Price226.2
Implied Upside / (Downside)-37.1%