Cadence Design Systems, Inc.
NasdaqGS-CDNS
BUILD UP FREE CASH | 2022-12-31 (A) | 2023-12-31 (A) | 2024-12-31 (A) | 2025-12-31 (E) | 2026-12-31 (E) | 2027-12-31 (E) | 2028-12-31 (E) | 2029-12-31 (E) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 3,561.7 | 4,090 | 4,641.3 | 5,285 | 5,941.6 | 6,693.3 | 6,693.3 | 6,693.3 |
Revenue % Chg. | 19.2% | 14.8% | 13.5% | |||||
EBIT | 1,083.8 | 1,274.3 | 1,389.1 | 2,341.9 | 2,684 | 3,061.4 | 3,061.4 | 3,061.4 |
EBIT Margin | 30.4% | 31.2% | 29.9% | |||||
Tax Rate | 18.8% | 18.8% | 24.4% | |||||
NOPAT | 880.2 | 1,035 | 1,050.4 | 1,955.5 | 2,240.3 | 2,556.3 | 2,556.3 | 2,556.3 |
NOPAT Margin | 24.7% | 25.3% | 22.6% | 37% | 37.7% | 38.2% | 38.2% | 38.2% |
D&A | 135.4 | 145.7 | 196.9 | 223.3 | 240.6 | 252.9 | 252.9 | 252.9 |
D&A / Revenue | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | |||||
Capex | -123.2 | -102.3 | -142.5 | -139.2 | -159.3 | -185.4 | -185.4 | -185.4 |
Capex / Revenue | -3.5% | -2.5% | -3.1% | |||||
Chg. NWC | 87.5 | -98.8 | -209 | -78.6 | -88.3 | -99.5 | -99.5 | -99.5 |
Chg. NWC / Revenue | 2.5% | -2.4% | -4.5% | |||||
Unlevered FCF (UFCF) | 980 | 979.6 | 895.8 | 1,961.1 | 2,233.3 | 2,524.3 | 2,524.3 | 2,524.3 |
UFCF % Chg. | 10.1% | -0% | -8.6% | 118.9% | 13.9% | 13% | — | — |
PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 1,807.2 | 1,896.5 | 1,975.4 | 1,820.4 | 1,677.5 |
Sum of PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 1,807.2 | 3,703.7 | 5,679.1 | 7,499.5 | 9,177.1 |
| Cost of Debt | |
| Tax Rate | |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 3.5% |
| Risk Free Rate | |
| Market Risk Premium | |
| Beta | 1 |
| Cost of Equity | 8.7% |
| Total Debt | 2,626.6 |
| Market Cap | 91,489.5 |
| Total Capital | 94,116.1 |
| Debt Weighting | 2.8% |
| Equity Weighting | 97.2% |
| WACC | 8.5% |
| Exit Multiple EV/FCF | |
| Terminal Value | 91,038.6 |
| PV of Terminal Value | 55,751.2 |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | 9,177.1 |
| Net Debt | -450.9 |
| Equity Value | 65,379.1 |
| Shares Outstanding | 272.2 |
| Implied Share Price | 240.2 |
| Current Share Price | 337.3 |
| Implied Upside / (Downside) | -28.8% |