BUILD UP FREE CASH
2022-12-31 (A)
2023-12-31 (A)
2024-12-31 (A)
2025-12-31 (E)
2026-12-31 (E)
2027-12-31 (E)
2028-12-31 (E)
2029-12-31 (E)

Revenue

14,05714,81415,35116,41017,176.517,825.717,825.717,825.7

Revenue % Chg.

10.8%5.4%3.6%

EBIT

2,8743,2213,3964,147.44,463.14,651.34,651.34,651.3

EBIT Margin

20.4%21.7%22.1%

Tax Rate

16.5%20.9%24.7%

NOPAT

2,399.22,548.12,556.83,204.13,441.53,593.23,593.23,593.2

NOPAT Margin

17.1%17.2%16.7%19.5%20%20.2%20.2%20.2%

D&A

709720733628669.5649.3649.3649.3

D&A / Revenue

5%4.9%4.8%

Capex

-353-425-563-514.2-557.1-579-579-579

Capex / Revenue

-2.5%-2.9%-3.7%

Chg. NWC

-275-1,747-591-962.7-1,007.6-1,045.7-1,045.7-1,045.7

Chg. NWC / Revenue

-2%-11.8%-3.8%

Unlevered FCF (UFCF)

2,480.21,096.12,135.82,355.32,546.32,617.82,617.82,617.8

UFCF % Chg.

-16.2%-55.8%94.9%10.3%8.1%2.8%

PV of UFCF

2,201.42,224.42,137.41,997.71,867.2

Sum of PV of UFCF

2,201.44,425.86,563.28,560.910,428.1
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate
After Tax Cost of Debt3.5%
Risk Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Beta1
Cost of Equity8.7%
Total Debt18,330
Market Cap38,488.7
Total Capital56,818.7
Debt Weighting32.3%
Equity Weighting67.7%
WACC7%
Exit Multiple EV/FCF
Terminal Value56,602.7
PV of Terminal Value37,735
Cumulative PV of UFCF10,428.1
Net Debt18,114
Equity Value30,049.1
Shares Outstanding1,358.6
Implied Share Price22.1
Current Share Price28.3
Implied Upside / (Downside)-21.9%