Meta Platforms, Inc.
NasdaqGS-META
BUILD UP FREE CASH | 2022-12-31 (A) | 2023-12-31 (A) | 2024-12-31 (A) | 2025-12-31 (E) | 2026-12-31 (E) | 2027-12-31 (E) | 2028-12-31 (E) | 2029-12-31 (E) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 116,609 | 134,902 | 164,501 | 199,452.5 | 235,050.3 | 271,660.9 | 271,660.9 | 271,660.9 |
Revenue % Chg. | -1.1% | 15.7% | 21.9% | |||||
EBIT | 33,555 | 49,006 | 68,219 | 82,328.2 | 86,033.7 | 98,412.6 | 98,412.6 | 98,412.6 |
EBIT Margin | 28.8% | 36.3% | 41.5% | |||||
Tax Rate | 19.5% | 17.6% | 11.8% | |||||
NOPAT | 27,012.6 | 40,398.9 | 60,203.2 | 59,663.6 | 74,255.3 | 84,247.8 | 84,247.8 | 84,247.8 |
NOPAT Margin | 23.2% | 29.9% | 36.6% | 29.9% | 31.6% | 31% | 31% | 31% |
D&A | 8,686 | 11,178 | 15,498 | 18,961.5 | 28,592.4 | 39,484.9 | 39,484.9 | 39,484.9 |
D&A / Revenue | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | |||||
Capex | -31,186 | -27,045 | -37,256 | -70,428.5 | -107,998 | -120,444.1 | -120,444.1 | -120,444.1 |
Capex / Revenue | -26.7% | -20% | -22.6% | |||||
Chg. NWC | 5,683 | 3,836 | 1,048 | 5,554.2 | 6,545.5 | 7,565 | 7,565 | 7,565 |
Chg. NWC / Revenue | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% | |||||
Unlevered FCF (UFCF) | 10,195.6 | 28,367.9 | 39,493.2 | 13,750.8 | 1,395.2 | 10,853.6 | 10,853.6 | 10,853.6 |
UFCF % Chg. | -64.7% | 178.2% | 39.2% | -65.2% | -89.9% | 677.9% | — | — |
PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 12,673.4 | 1,185.2 | 8,497 | 7,831.2 | 7,217.6 |
Sum of PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 12,673.4 | 13,858.5 | 22,355.5 | 30,186.7 | 37,404.3 |
| Cost of Debt | |
| Tax Rate | |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 1.4% |
| Risk Free Rate | |
| Market Risk Premium | |
| Beta | 1 |
| Cost of Equity | 8.7% |
| Total Debt | 49,769 |
| Market Cap | 1,623,799.5 |
| Total Capital | 1,673,568.5 |
| Debt Weighting | 3% |
| Equity Weighting | 97% |
| WACC | 8.5% |
| Exit Multiple EV/FCF | |
| Terminal Value | 1,630,411.5 |
| PV of Terminal Value | 999,263.9 |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | 37,404.3 |
| Net Debt | 6,612 |
| Equity Value | 1,030,056.1 |
| Shares Outstanding | 2,520.5 |
| Implied Share Price | 408.7 |
| Current Share Price | 647.5 |
| Implied Upside / (Downside) | -36.9% |