NVIDIA Corporation
NasdaqGS-NVDA
BUILD UP FREE CASH | 2023-01-29 (A) | 2024-01-28 (A) | 2025-01-26 (A) | 2026-01-31 (E) | 2027-01-31 (E) | 2028-01-31 (E) | 2029-01-31 (E) | 2030-01-31 (E) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 26,974 | 60,922 | 130,497 | 213,131.5 | 315,470.5 | 403,831 | 403,831 | 403,831 |
Revenue % Chg. | 0.2% | 125.9% | 114.2% | |||||
EBIT | 5,577 | 32,972 | 81,453 | 134,641.7 | 208,268.4 | 268,150.7 | 268,150.7 | 268,150.7 |
EBIT Margin | 20.7% | 54.1% | 62.4% | |||||
Tax Rate | -4.5% | 12% | 13.3% | |||||
NOPAT | 5,826.4 | 29,015.5 | 70,648.3 | 112,117.2 | 172,932.2 | 222,612.4 | 222,612.4 | 222,612.4 |
NOPAT Margin | 21.6% | 47.6% | 54.1% | 52.6% | 54.8% | 55.1% | 55.1% | 55.1% |
D&A | 1,544 | 1,508 | 1,864 | 2,482.2 | 3,291.6 | 3,636 | 3,636 | 3,636 |
D&A / Revenue | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | |||||
Capex | -1,833 | -1,069 | -3,236 | -6,018 | -7,350.3 | -8,088.3 | -8,088.3 | -8,088.3 |
Capex / Revenue | -6.8% | -1.8% | -2.5% | |||||
Chg. NWC | -2,207 | -3,722 | -9,383 | -15,261.4 | -22,589.4 | -28,916.5 | -28,916.5 | -28,916.5 |
Chg. NWC / Revenue | -8.2% | -6.1% | -7.2% | |||||
Unlevered FCF (UFCF) | 3,330.4 | 25,732.5 | 59,893.3 | 93,320.1 | 146,284.1 | 189,243.6 | 189,243.6 | 189,243.6 |
UFCF % Chg. | -50.2% | 672.6% | 132.8% | 55.8% | 56.8% | 29.4% | 0% | — |
PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 85,847.8 | 123,795.4 | 147,327 | 135,530.2 | 124,678 |
Sum of PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 85,847.8 | 209,643.1 | 356,970.2 | 492,500.4 | 617,178.4 |
| Cost of Debt | |
| Tax Rate | |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 2.2% |
| Risk Free Rate | |
| Market Risk Premium | |
| Beta | 1 |
| Cost of Equity | 8.7% |
| Total Debt | 10,270 |
| Market Cap | 4,252,811 |
| Total Capital | 4,263,081 |
| Debt Weighting | 0.2% |
| Equity Weighting | 99.8% |
| WACC | 8.7% |
| Exit Multiple EV/FCF | |
| Terminal Value | 4,203,025 |
| PV of Terminal Value | 2,547,324.9 |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | 617,178.4 |
| Net Debt | -49,786 |
| Equity Value | 3,214,289.4 |
| Shares Outstanding | 24,299 |
| Implied Share Price | 132.3 |
| Current Share Price | 175 |
| Implied Upside / (Downside) | -24.4% |