NXP Semiconductors N.V.
NasdaqGS-NXPI
BUILD UP FREE CASH | 2022-12-31 (A) | 2023-12-31 (A) | 2024-12-31 (A) | 2025-12-31 (E) | 2026-12-31 (E) | 2027-12-31 (E) | 2028-12-31 (E) | 2029-12-31 (E) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 13,205 | 13,276 | 12,614 | 12,235.2 | 13,333.5 | 14,642.2 | 14,642.2 | 14,642.2 |
Revenue % Chg. | 19.4% | 0.5% | -5% | |||||
EBIT | 3,778 | 3,746 | 3,526 | 4,053.4 | 4,649.9 | 5,383.3 | 5,383.3 | 5,383.3 |
EBIT Margin | 28.6% | 28.2% | 28% | |||||
Tax Rate | 15.7% | 15.6% | 17.7% | |||||
NOPAT | 3,183.5 | 3,160.3 | 2,903.5 | 3,339.3 | 3,822.2 | 4,419.7 | 4,419.7 | 4,419.7 |
NOPAT Margin | 24.1% | 23.8% | 23% | 27.3% | 28.7% | 30.2% | 30.2% | 30.2% |
D&A | 1,238 | 1,086 | 895 | 850.8 | 864.8 | 942.7 | 942.7 | 942.7 |
D&A / Revenue | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | |||||
Capex | -1,068 | -827 | -727 | -437.8 | -653.4 | -691.4 | -691.4 | -691.4 |
Capex / Revenue | -8.1% | -6.2% | -5.8% | |||||
Chg. NWC | -372 | -594 | -923 | -595.8 | -649.3 | -713 | -713 | -713 |
Chg. NWC / Revenue | -2.8% | -4.5% | -7.3% | |||||
Unlevered FCF (UFCF) | 2,981.5 | 2,825.3 | 2,148.5 | 3,156.5 | 3,384.4 | 3,958 | 3,958 | 3,958 |
UFCF % Chg. | 31.6% | -5.2% | -24% | 46.9% | 7.2% | 16.9% | — | — |
PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 2,929.5 | 2,915.2 | 3,164.2 | 2,936.6 | 2,725.5 |
Sum of PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 2,929.5 | 5,844.7 | 9,008.9 | 11,945.5 | 14,671 |
| Cost of Debt | |
| Tax Rate | |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 2.9% |
| Risk Free Rate | |
| Market Risk Premium | |
| Beta | 1 |
| Cost of Equity | 8.7% |
| Total Debt | 11,146 |
| Market Cap | 57,369.2 |
| Total Capital | 68,515.2 |
| Debt Weighting | 16.3% |
| Equity Weighting | 83.7% |
| WACC | 7.7% |
| Exit Multiple EV/FCF | |
| Terminal Value | 66,031.2 |
| PV of Terminal Value | 42,199.8 |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | 14,671 |
| Net Debt | 8,280 |
| Equity Value | 48,590.8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 251.7 |
| Implied Share Price | 193.1 |
| Current Share Price | 228 |
| Implied Upside / (Downside) | -15.3% |