Palantir Technologies Inc.
NasdaqGS-PLTR
BUILD UP FREE CASH | 2022-12-31 (A) | 2023-12-31 (A) | 2024-12-31 (A) | 2025-12-31 (E) | 2026-12-31 (E) | 2027-12-31 (E) | 2028-12-31 (E) | 2029-12-31 (E) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 1,905.9 | 2,225 | 2,865.5 | 4,406.2 | 6,191.5 | 8,472.6 | 8,472.6 | 8,472.6 |
Revenue % Chg. | 23.6% | 16.7% | 28.8% | |||||
EBIT | -161.2 | 120 | 310.4 | 2,152 | 3,045.8 | 4,311 | 4,311 | 4,311 |
EBIT Margin | -8.5% | 5.4% | 10.8% | |||||
Tax Rate | -2.8% | 8.3% | 4.3% | |||||
NOPAT | -165.7 | 110 | 296.9 | 1,658.9 | 2,345.7 | 3,325.9 | 3,325.9 | 3,325.9 |
NOPAT Margin | -8.7% | 4.9% | 10.4% | 37.6% | 37.9% | 39.3% | 39.3% | 39.3% |
D&A | 22.5 | 33.4 | 31.6 | 30.4 | 38.9 | 72.8 | 72.8 | 72.8 |
D&A / Revenue | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | |||||
Capex | -40 | -15.1 | -12.6 | -31.8 | -45.7 | -65.4 | -65.4 | -65.4 |
Capex / Revenue | -2.1% | -0.7% | -0.4% | |||||
Chg. NWC | -261.2 | 6.2 | -70.1 | -233.1 | -327.6 | -448.3 | -448.3 | -448.3 |
Chg. NWC / Revenue | -13.7% | 0.3% | -2.4% | |||||
Unlevered FCF (UFCF) | -444.4 | 134.5 | 245.8 | 1,424.4 | 2,011.3 | 2,885 | 2,885 | 2,885 |
UFCF % Chg. | -15.8% | -130.3% | 82.8% | 479.5% | 41.2% | 43.4% | — | — |
PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 1,310.2 | 1,701.8 | 2,245.3 | 2,065.3 | 1,899.8 |
Sum of PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 1,310.2 | 3,011.9 | 5,257.3 | 7,322.6 | 9,222.4 |
| Cost of Debt | |
| Tax Rate | |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | — |
| Risk Free Rate | |
| Market Risk Premium | |
| Beta | 1 |
| Cost of Equity | 8.7% |
| Total Debt | 239.2 |
| Market Cap | 437,527.4 |
| Total Capital | 437,766.6 |
| Debt Weighting | 0.1% |
| Equity Weighting | 99.9% |
| WACC | 8.7% |
| Exit Multiple EV/FCF | |
| Terminal Value | 431,422.8 |
| PV of Terminal Value | 261,312.8 |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | 9,222.4 |
| Net Debt | -6,202.4 |
| Equity Value | 276,737.5 |
| Shares Outstanding | 2,383.4 |
| Implied Share Price | 116.1 |
| Current Share Price | 183.6 |
| Implied Upside / (Downside) | -36.7% |