Synopsys, Inc.
NasdaqGS-SNPS
BUILD UP FREE CASH | 2022-10-31 (A) | 2023-10-31 (A) | 2024-10-31 (A) | 2025-10-31 (E) | 2026-10-31 (E) | 2027-10-31 (E) | 2028-10-31 (E) | 2029-10-31 (E) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 4,615.7 | 5,318 | 6,127.4 | 7,043.8 | 9,634.6 | 10,648 | 10,648 | 10,648 |
Revenue % Chg. | 9.8% | 15.2% | 15.2% | |||||
EBIT | 1,159.9 | 1,326.3 | 1,355.7 | 2,613.5 | 3,793.1 | 4,386.4 | 4,386.4 | 4,386.4 |
EBIT Margin | 25.1% | 24.9% | 22.1% | |||||
Tax Rate | 12.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | |||||
NOPAT | 1,013.4 | 1,234.7 | 1,266.4 | 2,195.3 | 3,189.7 | 3,690.1 | 3,690.1 | 3,690.1 |
NOPAT Margin | 22% | 23.2% | 20.7% | 31.2% | 33.1% | 34.7% | 34.7% | 34.7% |
D&A | 183.2 | 199.5 | 190.3 | 492.1 | 1,247.4 | 1,368 | 1,368 | 1,368 |
D&A / Revenue | 4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | |||||
Capex | -136.6 | -189.6 | -123.2 | -184.2 | -220.4 | -247.1 | -247.1 | -247.1 |
Capex / Revenue | -3% | -3.6% | -2% | |||||
Chg. NWC | -59.3 | -327.3 | -707.6 | -445.8 | -609.8 | -674 | -674 | -674 |
Chg. NWC / Revenue | -1.3% | -6.2% | -11.5% | |||||
Unlevered FCF (UFCF) | 1,000.6 | 917.2 | 625.9 | 2,057.4 | 3,606.8 | 4,137 | 4,137 | 4,137 |
UFCF % Chg. | 9.8% | -8.3% | -31.8% | 228.7% | 75.3% | 14.7% | — | — |
PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 1,894 | 3,056.5 | 3,227.3 | 2,971 | 2,734.9 |
Sum of PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 1,894 | 4,950.5 | 8,177.9 | 11,148.8 | 13,883.8 |
| Cost of Debt | |
| Tax Rate | |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 4.7% |
| Risk Free Rate | |
| Market Risk Premium | |
| Beta | 1 |
| Cost of Equity | 8.7% |
| Total Debt | 684.5 |
| Market Cap | 88,375.1 |
| Total Capital | 89,059.6 |
| Debt Weighting | 0.8% |
| Equity Weighting | 99.2% |
| WACC | 8.6% |
| Exit Multiple EV/FCF | |
| Terminal Value | 100,921.4 |
| PV of Terminal Value | 61,417.5 |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | 13,883.8 |
| Net Debt | 12,546.6 |
| Equity Value | 62,754.7 |
| Shares Outstanding | 190.6 |
| Implied Share Price | 329.3 |
| Current Share Price | 463.7 |
| Implied Upside / (Downside) | -29% |