Xcel Energy Inc.
NasdaqGS-XEL
BUILD UP FREE CASH | 2022-12-31 (A) | 2023-12-31 (A) | 2024-12-31 (A) | 2025-12-31 (E) | 2026-12-31 (E) | 2027-12-31 (E) | 2028-12-31 (E) | 2029-12-31 (E) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 15,310 | 14,206 | 13,441 | 14,881.1 | 16,021.6 | 17,175.4 | 17,175.4 | 17,175.4 |
Revenue % Chg. | 14% | -7.2% | -5.4% | |||||
EBIT | 2,459 | 2,613 | 2,407 | 3,076.1 | 3,578.7 | 4,170.3 | 4,170.3 | 4,170.3 |
EBIT Margin | 16.1% | 18.4% | 17.9% | |||||
Tax Rate | -8.4% | -9% | -26.2% | |||||
NOPAT | 2,666.3 | 2,847.8 | 3,037.8 | 2,802.3 | 3,487.4 | 3,955.6 | 3,955.6 | 3,955.6 |
NOPAT Margin | 17.4% | 20% | 22.6% | 18.8% | 21.8% | 23% | 23% | 23% |
D&A | 2,554 | 2,567 | 2,875 | 2,944.4 | 3,186.4 | 3,405.6 | 3,405.6 | 3,405.6 |
D&A / Revenue | 16.7% | 18.1% | 21.4% | |||||
Capex | -4,638 | -5,854 | -7,364 | -10,940 | -11,583 | -11,737.4 | -11,737.4 | -11,737.4 |
Capex / Revenue | -30.3% | -41.2% | -54.8% | |||||
Chg. NWC | -115 | 1,192 | -172 | 315.5 | 339.7 | 364.1 | 364.1 | 364.1 |
Chg. NWC / Revenue | -0.8% | 8.4% | -1.3% | |||||
Unlevered FCF (UFCF) | 467.3 | 752.8 | -1,623.2 | -4,877.8 | -4,569.5 | -4,012.1 | -4,012.1 | -4,012.1 |
UFCF % Chg. | -141.5% | 61.1% | -315.6% | 200.5% | -6.3% | -12.2% | -0% | — |
PV of UFCF | — | — | — | -4,551.5 | -3,978.6 | -3,259.6 | -3,041.6 | -2,838.1 |
Sum of PV of UFCF | — | — | — | -4,551.5 | -8,530.1 | -11,789.8 | -14,831.4 | -17,669.5 |
| Cost of Debt | |
| Tax Rate | |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 5% |
| Risk Free Rate | |
| Market Risk Premium | |
| Beta | 1 |
| Cost of Equity | 8.6% |
| Total Debt | 30,270 |
| Market Cap | 46,755.3 |
| Total Capital | 77,025.3 |
| Debt Weighting | 39.3% |
| Equity Weighting | 60.7% |
| WACC | 7.2% |
| Exit Multiple EV/FCF | |
| Terminal Value | 81,255.3 |
| PV of Terminal Value | 53,633.8 |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | -17,669.5 |
| Net Debt | 34,500 |
| Equity Value | 1,464.3 |
| Shares Outstanding | 591.5 |
| Implied Share Price | 2.5 |
| Current Share Price | 79 |
| Implied Upside / (Downside) | -96.9% |