Zscaler, Inc.
NasdaqGS-ZS
BUILD UP FREE CASH | 2023-07-31 (A) | 2024-07-31 (A) | 2025-07-31 (A) | 2026-07-31 (E) | 2027-07-31 (E) | 2028-07-31 (E) | 2029-07-31 (E) | 2030-07-31 (E) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 1,617 | 2,167.8 | 2,673.1 | 3,296.3 | 3,948.1 | 4,702 | 4,702 | 4,702 |
Revenue % Chg. | 48.2% | 34.1% | 23.3% | |||||
EBIT | -228.1 | -121.5 | -122.2 | 737.4 | 922.6 | 1,147.4 | 1,147.4 | 1,147.4 |
EBIT Margin | -14.1% | -5.6% | -4.6% | |||||
Tax Rate | -10.8% | -97.4% | -126.8% | |||||
NOPAT | -252.8 | -239.8 | -277.2 | 581.6 | 725.9 | 905.7 | 905.7 | 905.7 |
NOPAT Margin | -15.6% | -11.1% | -10.4% | 17.6% | 18.4% | 19.3% | 19.3% | 19.3% |
D&A | 42.6 | 44.6 | 44.5 | 134.4 | 149.7 | 160.7 | 160.7 | 160.7 |
D&A / Revenue | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | |||||
Capex | -97.2 | -144.6 | -164.3 | -208.2 | -252.2 | -319.2 | -319.2 | -319.2 |
Capex / Revenue | -6% | -6.7% | -6.1% | |||||
Chg. NWC | 28.6 | 66.1 | 26.7 | 63.9 | 76.5 | 91.1 | 91.1 | 91.1 |
Chg. NWC / Revenue | 1.8% | 3% | 1% | |||||
Unlevered FCF (UFCF) | -278.8 | -273.7 | -370.2 | 571.7 | 699.9 | 838.3 | 838.3 | 838.3 |
UFCF % Chg. | 3.8% | -1.8% | 35.3% | -254.4% | 22.4% | 19.8% | 0% | — |
PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 527.7 | 596.5 | 659.5 | 608.9 | 562.1 |
Sum of PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 527.7 | 1,124.2 | 1,783.8 | 2,392.6 | 2,954.7 |
| Cost of Debt | |
| Tax Rate | |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 1.1% |
| Risk Free Rate | |
| Market Risk Premium | |
| Beta | 1 |
| Cost of Equity | 8.7% |
| Total Debt | 1,796.6 |
| Market Cap | 38,568.1 |
| Total Capital | 40,364.7 |
| Debt Weighting | 4.5% |
| Equity Weighting | 95.5% |
| WACC | 8.3% |
| Exit Multiple EV/FCF | |
| Terminal Value | 37,083.5 |
| PV of Terminal Value | 22,952.2 |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | 2,954.7 |
| Net Debt | -1,484.6 |
| Equity Value | 27,391.6 |
| Shares Outstanding | 159.5 |
| Implied Share Price | 171.8 |
| Current Share Price | 241.9 |
| Implied Upside / (Downside) | -29% |