InnoScience (Suzhou) Technology Holding Co., Ltd.
SEHK-2577
BUILD UP FREE CASH | 2022-12-31 (A) | 2023-12-31 (A) | 2024-12-31 (A) | 2025-12-31 (E) | 2026-12-31 (E) | 2027-12-31 (E) | 2028-12-31 (E) | 2029-12-31 (E) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 136.2 | 592.7 | 828.5 | 1,344.9 | 2,527.6 | 4,978 | 4,978 | 4,978 |
Revenue % Chg. | 99.6% | 335.3% | 39.8% | |||||
EBIT | -1,225.9 | -1,008.2 | -984.8 | -758.3 | -264.8 | 669.3 | 669.3 | 669.3 |
EBIT Margin | -900.3% | -170.1% | -118.9% | |||||
Tax Rate | -0% | -0% | -0% | |||||
NOPAT | -1,226 | -1,008.2 | -985.1 | -758.5 | -264.9 | 490.6 | 490.6 | 490.6 |
NOPAT Margin | -900.3% | -170.1% | -118.9% | -56.4% | -10.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% |
D&A | 463.1 | 524.7 | 505.4 | 532.3 | 614.3 | 747.7 | 747.7 | 747.7 |
D&A / Revenue | 340.1% | 88.5% | 61% | |||||
Capex | -464.6 | -331.3 | -171.8 | -443.3 | -1,136.7 | -1,571 | -1,571 | -1,571 |
Capex / Revenue | -341.2% | -55.9% | -20.7% | |||||
Chg. NWC | -298.1 | -216.1 | -159.4 | -1,231 | -2,313.6 | -4,556.5 | -4,556.5 | -4,556.5 |
Chg. NWC / Revenue | -218.9% | -36.5% | -19.2% | |||||
Unlevered FCF (UFCF) | -1,525.6 | -1,030.9 | -810.8 | -1,900.5 | -3,100.9 | -4,889.2 | -4,889.2 | -4,889.2 |
UFCF % Chg. | — | -32.4% | -21.4% | 134.4% | 63.2% | 57.7% | — | — |
PV of UFCF | — | — | — | -1,735.3 | -2,585.1 | -3,721.7 | -3,398.2 | -3,102.7 |
Sum of PV of UFCF | — | — | — | -1,735.3 | -4,320.4 | -8,042.2 | -11,440.3 | -14,543.1 |
| Cost of Debt | |
| Tax Rate | |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 4.1% |
| Risk Free Rate | |
| Market Risk Premium | |
| Beta | 1 |
| Cost of Equity | 9.7% |
| Total Debt | 1,994.4 |
| Market Cap | 64,000.8 |
| Total Capital | 65,995.2 |
| Debt Weighting | 3% |
| Equity Weighting | 97% |
| WACC | 9.5% |
| Exit Multiple EV/FCF | |
| Terminal Value | 64,914.4 |
| PV of Terminal Value | 37,613.7 |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | -14,543.1 |
| Net Debt | 917.6 |
| Equity Value | 22,153 |
| Shares Outstanding | 914.9 |
| Implied Share Price | 24.2 |
| Current Share Price | 73.5 |
| Implied Upside / (Downside) | -67% |