Cambricon Technologies Corporation Limited
SHSE-688256
BUILD UP FREE CASH | 2022-12-31 (A) | 2023-12-31 (A) | 2024-12-31 (A) | 2025-12-31 (E) | 2026-12-31 (E) | 2027-12-31 (E) | 2028-12-31 (E) | 2029-12-31 (E) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 729 | 709.4 | 1,174.5 | 6,648.9 | 12,457.2 | 23,461.5 | 23,461.5 | 23,461.5 |
Revenue % Chg. | 1.1% | -2.7% | 65.6% | |||||
EBIT | -1,693.2 | -1,136.9 | -717.6 | 2,104.8 | 3,995.3 | 9,008.9 | 9,008.9 | 9,008.9 |
EBIT Margin | -232.3% | -160.3% | -61.1% | |||||
Tax Rate | -0% | -0.2% | 0.4% | |||||
NOPAT | -1,694 | -1,138.7 | -714.9 | 2,096.7 | 3,951.3 | 8,909.8 | 8,909.8 | 8,909.8 |
NOPAT Margin | -232.4% | -160.5% | -60.9% | 31.5% | 31.7% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
D&A | 355.3 | 315.9 | 177.5 | 246.2 | 302.5 | 376 | 376 | 376 |
D&A / Revenue | 48.7% | 44.5% | 15.1% | |||||
Capex | -284.1 | -100.4 | -366 | -565.5 | -588.7 | -812.4 | -812.4 | -812.4 |
Capex / Revenue | -39% | -14.2% | -31.2% | |||||
Chg. NWC | -598.6 | -249 | -1,263.4 | -4,981.7 | -9,333.6 | -17,578.6 | -17,578.6 | -17,578.6 |
Chg. NWC / Revenue | -82.1% | -35.1% | -107.6% | |||||
Unlevered FCF (UFCF) | -2,221.4 | -1,172.3 | -2,166.8 | -3,204.2 | -5,668.5 | -9,105.1 | -9,105.1 | -9,105.1 |
UFCF % Chg. | 31% | -47.2% | 84.8% | 47.9% | 76.9% | 60.6% | — | — |
PV of UFCF | — | — | — | -2,920.1 | -4,708 | -6,891.7 | -6,280.7 | -5,723.9 |
Sum of PV of UFCF | — | — | — | -2,920.1 | -7,628.1 | -14,519.8 | -20,800.6 | -26,524.4 |
| Cost of Debt | |
| Tax Rate | |
| After Tax Cost of Debt | 1.5% |
| Risk Free Rate | |
| Market Risk Premium | |
| Beta | 1 |
| Cost of Equity | 9.7% |
| Total Debt | 114.3 |
| Market Cap | 577,287 |
| Total Capital | 577,401.3 |
| Debt Weighting | 0% |
| Equity Weighting | 100% |
| WACC | 9.7% |
| Exit Multiple EV/FCF | |
| Terminal Value | 570,970.1 |
| PV of Terminal Value | 327,115.6 |
| Cumulative PV of UFCF | -26,524.4 |
| Net Debt | -6,324.1 |
| Equity Value | 306,915.3 |
| Shares Outstanding | 421.7 |
| Implied Share Price | 727.8 |
| Current Share Price | 1,369 |
| Implied Upside / (Downside) | -46.8% |