BUILD UP FREE CASH
2022-12-31 (A)
2023-12-31 (A)
2024-12-31 (A)
2025-12-31 (E)
2026-12-31 (E)
2027-12-31 (E)
2028-12-31 (E)
2029-12-31 (E)

Revenue

29,18927,00926,40715,955.616,256.717,123.417,123.417,123.4

Revenue % Chg.

8.8%-7.5%-2.2%

EBIT

3,5024,2574,3382,898.53,075.83,393.63,393.63,393.6

EBIT Margin

12%15.8%16.4%

Tax Rate

22.5%23.9%24.4%

NOPAT

2,712.43,238.13,279.92,207.32,336.82,577.92,577.92,577.9

NOPAT Margin

9.3%12%12.4%13.8%14.4%15.1%15.1%15.1%

D&A

2,1941,9772,0171,132.11,130.81,160.51,160.51,160.5

D&A / Revenue

7.5%7.3%7.6%

Capex

-1,549-1,505-1,650-989.4-1,092.7-1,137.5-1,137.5-1,137.5

Capex / Revenue

-5.3%-5.6%-6.2%

Chg. NWC

-32515221814.614.915.715.715.7

Chg. NWC / Revenue

-1.1%0.6%0.8%

Unlevered FCF (UFCF)

3,032.43,862.13,864.92,364.72,389.82,616.62,616.62,616.6

UFCF % Chg.

-8.5%27.4%0.1%-38.8%1.1%9.5%——

PV of UFCF

———2,210.62,088.42,137.61,998.31,868.1

Sum of PV of UFCF

———2,210.64,2996,436.68,434.910,303
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate
After Tax Cost of Debt3%
Risk Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Beta1
Cost of Equity8.7%
Total Debt13,856
Market Cap32,748.4
Total Capital46,604.4
Debt Weighting29.7%
Equity Weighting70.3%
WACC7%
Exit Multiple EV/FCF
Terminal Value37,748.7
PV of Terminal Value25,193.4
Cumulative PV of UFCF10,303
Net Debt5,579
Equity Value29,917.3
Shares Outstanding538.8
Implied Share Price55.5
Current Share Price74.2
Implied Upside / (Downside)-25.2%