BUILD UP FREE CASH
2022-12-31 (A)
2023-12-31 (A)
2024-12-31 (A)
2025-12-31 (E)
2026-12-31 (E)
2027-12-31 (E)
2028-12-31 (E)
2029-12-31 (E)

Revenue

65,81460,44162,39561,558.163,114.965,049.365,049.365,049.3

Revenue % Chg.

-0.1%-8.2%3.2%

EBIT

20,56917,77919,61721,672.422,527.523,579.123,579.123,579.1

EBIT Margin

31.3%29.4%31.4%

Tax Rate

17.1%12.2%22.1%

NOPAT

17,046.615,605.715,282.117,547.518,234.419,068.819,068.819,068.8

NOPAT Margin

25.9%25.8%24.5%28.5%28.9%29.3%29.3%29.3%

D&A

3,8443,4643,4233,022.53,130.23,238.43,238.43,238.4

D&A / Revenue

5.8%5.7%5.5%

Capex

-3,449-3,742-3,529-3,907.6-3,989.1-4,131.4-4,131.4-4,131.4

Capex / Revenue

-5.2%-6.2%-5.7%

Chg. NWC

-2,418-1,1071,161-747.9-766.8-790.3-790.3-790.3

Chg. NWC / Revenue

-3.7%-1.8%1.9%

Unlevered FCF (UFCF)

15,023.614,220.716,337.115,914.416,608.717,385.417,385.417,385.4

UFCF % Chg.

-12.4%-5.3%14.9%-2.6%4.4%4.7%——

PV of UFCF

———14,747.114,261.513,833.412,818.611,878.3

Sum of PV of UFCF

———14,747.129,008.542,841.955,660.567,538.8
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate
After Tax Cost of Debt3.1%
Risk Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Beta1
Cost of Equity8.7%
Total Debt36,379
Market Cap219,000.5
Total Capital255,379.5
Debt Weighting14.2%
Equity Weighting85.8%
WACC7.9%
Exit Multiple EV/FCF
Terminal Value240,722.6
PV of Terminal Value152,405.9
Cumulative PV of UFCF67,538.8
Net Debt22,607
Equity Value197,337.7
Shares Outstanding850.3
Implied Share Price232.1
Current Share Price326.4
Implied Upside / (Downside)-28.9%