BUILD UP FREE CASH
2022-12-31 (A)
2023-12-31 (A)
2024-12-31 (A)
2025-12-31 (E)
2026-12-31 (E)
2027-12-31 (E)
2028-12-31 (E)
2029-12-31 (E)

Revenue

279,050322,284324,656324,973.3331,666.8341,359.3341,359.3341,359.3

Revenue % Chg.

11.5%15.5%0.7%

EBIT

23,06824,09922,9189,78417,64720,828.220,828.220,828.2

EBIT Margin

8.3%7.5%7.1%

Tax Rate

28.2%22.7%26.2%

NOPAT

16,569.618,635.316,902.56,824.912,960.715,567.615,567.615,567.6

NOPAT Margin

5.9%5.8%5.2%2.1%3.9%4.6%4.6%4.6%

D&A

12,90711,41512,44023,167.522,310.521,932.321,932.321,932.3

D&A / Revenue

4.6%3.5%3.8%

Capex

-12,948-14,653-17,202-25,891.1-25,626.2-23,786.8-23,786.8-23,786.8

Capex / Revenue

-4.6%-4.5%-5.3%

Chg. NWC

-19,886-28,741-28,898-27,021.9-27,578.5-28,384.4-28,384.4-28,384.4

Chg. NWC / Revenue

-7.1%-8.9%-8.9%

Unlevered FCF (UFCF)

-3,357.4-13,343.7-16,757.5-22,920.6-17,933.5-14,671.3-14,671.3-14,671.3

UFCF % Chg.

-126.3%297.4%25.6%36.8%-21.8%-18.2%——

PV of UFCF

———-22,418.8-17,156.8-13,728.5-13,428-13,133.9

Sum of PV of UFCF

———-22,418.8-39,575.5-53,304.1-66,732-79,866
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate
After Tax Cost of Debt1.1%
Risk Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Beta1
Cost of Equity8.8%
Total Debt254,081
Market Cap46,306.2
Total Capital300,387.2
Debt Weighting84.6%
Equity Weighting15.4%
WACC2.2%
Exit Multiple EV/FCF
Terminal Value226,914.5
PV of Terminal Value198,689.6
Cumulative PV of UFCF-79,866
Net Debt195,937
Equity Value-77,113.4
Shares Outstanding501.3
Implied Share Price-153.8
Current Share Price107.5
Implied Upside / (Downside)-243.1%